AVS vs Guimaraes Prediction
Primeira Liga · Portugal
AVS
Full Time
Guimaraes
📍 Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves, Vila das Aves
🗓️ Saturday, 11 Apr 2026 at 14:30
Original Pre-Match Prediction
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
0 - 2
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 9.0%
Draw: 21.0%
Away: 70.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
87.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(2)
btts — no@ 1.18
EV: 2.0%
AVS have failed to score in their last 5 matches, and Guimaraes have a solid defensive record against bottom teams. The model gives a high probability for BTTS 'no', and the odds offer a small but positive edge.
1x2 — away@ 1.22
EV: -4.0%
Guimaraes are much stronger, AVS have only one win all season, and the away side has a large edge in all key metrics, but the odds are short and value is marginal.
Match Analysis
AVS, rooted to the bottom of the table with just one win and no goals scored in their last five, face a Guimaraes side that, despite some away struggles, are far superior in every department. Guimaraes recently thrashed Tondela 5-0 and have already beaten AVS 4-0 this season. Expect the visitors to dominate, with AVS likely to struggle for chances. A low-scoring away win with a strong chance of a clean sheet for Guimaraes is the most probable outcome.
Key Factors
- →AVS have failed to score in their last 5 matches and average only 0.64 goals per game this season.
- →Guimaraes have a much better overall and away record, with 10 wins to AVS's 1.
- →AVS have conceded 61 goals in 28 games, the worst in the league.
- →Guimaraes won the reverse fixture 4-0 and have won 2 of the last 4 H2H.
- →No significant injuries for either team.
- →Guimaraes are 8th and still motivated for a top-half finish; AVS are bottom and nearly relegated.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Guimaraes' away form is not strong (3W, 1D, 9L), but AVS's home form is even worse.
- ⚠️AVS have occasionally managed draws at home against mid-table teams.
- ⚠️Some missing advanced stats for Guimaraes' recent matches.
- ⚠️Low odds on main selections reduce value.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.