Burnley
Mansfield Town
Turf Moor, Burnley
Saturday, 14 Feb 2026 at 15:00
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
2 - 0
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 73.0%
Draw: 18.0%
Away: 9.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
78.0% confidence
💰Recommended Bets
1x2 — Burnley@ 1.1
Expected Value: -2.0%
Burnley are a Premier League side facing a League One opponent, with a strong home record and superior squad quality. Recent form is mixed, but Mansfield's attack has been blunt and they are winless in 5.
over_under_2_5 — over@ 3.55
Expected Value: 46.0%
Burnley scored 5 in their last home cup match and Mansfield have conceded in 4 of their last 5. The price for over 2.5 goals is generous given the cup context and Burnley's attacking edge.
btts — no@ 1.15
Expected Value: -9.0%
Mansfield have failed to score in 2 of their last 5, and Burnley have kept better sides quiet. Cup tie increases clean sheet likelihood for the favorite.
Match Analysis
Burnley, despite some recent inconsistency, are clear favorites at home against Mansfield Town. The Premier League side's attacking quality and cup pedigree should prove too much for a Mansfield team that has struggled to score and win in recent League One matches. Expect Burnley to control the game, with a likely clean sheet and a couple of goals to see them through.
Key Factors
- ▪Burnley are two divisions above Mansfield and have home advantage.
- ▪Burnley scored 5 in their last home FA Cup match.
- ▪Mansfield have failed to win in their last 5 matches and have scored just 3 goals in that span.
- ▪No significant injuries reported for either side.
- ▪Burnley's defence has been vulnerable in the league, but Mansfield's attack is blunt.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️ No head-to-head or league standings data available; increases uncertainty.
- ⚠️ Cup matches can be unpredictable with potential squad rotation.
- ⚠️ Some missing match stats for both teams in recent games.
- ⚠️ Mansfield's away record in the cup is limited.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk. Always gamble responsibly.