Cadiz vs Zaragoza Prediction
Segunda División · Spain
Cadiz
Zaragoza
📍 Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla, Cadiz
🗓️ Friday, 6 Mar 2026 at 19:30
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
1 - 0
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 41.0%
Draw: 36.0%
Away: 23.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
82.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(3)
1x2 — draw@ 3.25
EV: 17.0%
Both teams are in poor form (LLDLL), have low scoring rates, and a high draw probability. The model's probability for a draw (0.36) is higher than the odds-implied probability (0.308), offering a small value edge.
btts — no@ 1.17
EV: -3.0%
Both sides have struggled to score (Cadiz 0.6, Zaragoza 0.4 avg goals last 5), with Zaragoza failing to score in 3 of last 5. 82% model probability for BTTS 'no'.
ou_2_5 — under@ 1.65
EV: -3.0%
Only 22% model probability for over 2.5 goals. Both teams' season over 2.5 rates are below 50%. Recent games are low-scoring.
Match Analysis
This is a clash between two struggling sides, with Cadiz on a five-game winless run and Zaragoza winless in their last five as well. Both teams have been poor in attack recently, averaging less than a goal per game, and have failed to keep clean sheets. Cadiz's home record is average, but Zaragoza's away form is weak, and they sit bottom of the table. The head-to-head history slightly favors Cadiz, especially at home. Expect a tight, low-scoring match, with a draw or narrow Cadiz win most likely.
Key Factors
- →Both teams in poor recent form (LLDLL).
- →Cadiz stronger at home than Zaragoza are away.
- →Both teams average under 1 goal scored per game in last 5.
- →Low season over 2.5 goal % for both sides.
- →Zaragoza have lowest clean sheet % in the league.
- →Head-to-head slightly favors Cadiz, especially at home.
- →No significant injuries reported.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Recent form for both teams is highly negative, introducing volatility.
- ⚠️Low attacking output increases draw probability but also risk of random events deciding the game.
- ⚠️Model confidence is moderate due to lack of goals and erratic form.
- ⚠️Some missing advanced stats (xG, full shots data) for last matches.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.