Charlton vs Norwich Prediction
Championship · England
Charlton
Norwich
📍 The Valley, London
🗓️ Saturday, 21 Mar 2026 at 15:00
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
0 - 1
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 19.0%
Draw: 36.0%
Away: 45.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
79.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(3)
1x2 — draw@ 3.35
EV: 21.0%
Model sees a higher probability of a draw (36%) than the implied odds (30%). Both teams have low attacking output recently, and Charlton's home games are often tight. Norwich are in better form but Charlton are defensively solid at home, supporting draw value.
over_under_2_5 — under@ 1.17
Both teams have strong under 2.5 goal trends (Charlton 66%, Norwich 51%). Recent form and H2H suggest a low-scoring game. Odds are short but probability is very high.
btts — no@ 1.2
Charlton have failed to score in 3 of last 5 H2H and have low goalscoring form. Norwich have 3 clean sheets in last 5. Model probability for 'no' is 79%.
Match Analysis
This is a clash between defensively-minded Charlton and an in-form Norwich side. Charlton are tough to break down at home but struggle for goals, averaging less than 1 per game. Norwich arrive with better form and a more potent attack, but also keep things tight away. H2H history is dominated by Norwich, but most games have been low-scoring. Expect a tactical battle with few clear chances, where Norwich's edge in quality may just tip the balance.
Key Factors
- →Charlton's last 5: DWWLD, averaging just 0.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game.
- →Norwich last 5: WWLWW, 1.6 goals scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
- →Charlton home: 8W 4D 6L, only 18 scored in 18 games.
- →Norwich away: 7W 5D 6L, 28 scored in 18 games.
- →H2H: Norwich 4 wins from last 5, all low-scoring.
- →Both teams strong under 2.5 goal trends.
- →Norwich missing two squad players, no major injuries.
- →Charlton fighting to avoid relegation zone, Norwich pushing for top half.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Limited shots and attacking stats for Charlton's recent games reduce model confidence in goal markets.
- ⚠️Norwich's recent away form is good but not dominant; variance risk.
- ⚠️Odds for under 2.5 and BTTS no are very short, limiting value.
- ⚠️Potential for late-season unpredictability not captured by data.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.