Chesham United vs AFC Hornchurch Prediction
National League - South · England
Chesham United
AFC Hornchurch
📍 The Meadow, Chesham
🗓️ Tuesday, 24 Mar 2026 at 19:45
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
1 - 2
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 22.0%
Draw: 32.0%
Away: 46.0%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(3)
double_chance — X2@ 1.4
EV: 6.0%
AFC Hornchurch are second in the table, have a strong away record, are unbeaten in the last three H2H, and Chesham United are on a two-game losing streak. The model gives a high probability (0.78) to X2.
1x2 — away@ 2.4
EV: 9.0%
Hornchurch have more attacking power (1.7 goals/game), better form, and have won both previous visits to Chesham. Model probability (0.46) exceeds implied odds.
btts — yes@ 1.95
EV: 6.0%
Both teams have BTTS in 3 of last 5, and both defences concede regularly. Model probability (0.54) gives a small edge.
Match Analysis
AFC Hornchurch travel to Chesham United as strong favourites, sitting 2nd in the table and boasting superior attacking stats. Chesham's recent form is patchy with two straight losses, while Hornchurch are unbeaten in four and have a good away record. The visitors have also dominated recent head-to-heads, including two away wins. Expect Hornchurch to control much of the play, with Chesham likely to threaten on the counter. Goals are likely, with both teams regularly involved in high-scoring matches.
Key Factors
- →AFC Hornchurch are 2nd, Chesham United 11th in the league
- →Hornchurch average 1.7 goals/game, Chesham 1.27
- →Hornchurch away record: 9W 4D 6L (31:30), Chesham home: 9W 3D 6L (26:16)
- →Recent form: Chesham LLWLD, Hornchurch DWLWW
- →Last 3 H2H: Hornchurch 2 wins, 1 draw
- →Both teams BTTS in 3 of last 5
- →No significant injuries reported
Risk Notes
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds data provided; value edges use model estimates.
- ⚠️No shots, corners, or possession data for recent matches—reduces confidence in set piece and attacking threat assessment.
- ⚠️Non-league football can be volatile; motivation and lineups may change close to kickoff.
- ⚠️Lineups not available at time of analysis.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.