Como vs Pisa Prediction
Serie A · Italy
Como
Pisa
📍 Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como
🗓️ Sunday, 22 Mar 2026 at 11:30
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
2 - 0
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 78.0%
Draw: 17.0%
Away: 5.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
82.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(3)
1x2 — Como@ 1.05
EV: -1.0%
Como are in excellent form, unbeaten in their last 5 (WWDWW), with a strong home record (8W 5D 2L), while Pisa are winless away all season and have lost 4 of their last 5. However, the odds are extremely short, so the value is limited.
over_under_2_5 — over@ 3.6
EV: 48.0%
Model probability for over 2.5 goals is 41% vs implied probability of 28% from odds, giving a positive value edge. Pisa's defense is leaky (1.69 conceded per game), and Como have scored 1.66 per game.
btts — no@ 1.12
EV: -6.0%
Como keep clean sheets in 44.8% of matches, Pisa have failed to score in 3 of last 5 and average only 0.79 goals per game. Model sees BTTS as unlikely, but odds are short and value is negative.
Match Analysis
Como come into this fixture in outstanding form, pushing for a top-four finish and boasting one of Serie A's best defensive records. Pisa, by contrast, are struggling near the bottom, winless away from home all season, and have the league's second-worst defense. Expect Como to control the match, limit Pisa's chances, and likely secure a comfortable victory, with a clean sheet highly probable. While Como are not the highest scoring team, Pisa's defensive frailty could allow for a multi-goal margin.
Key Factors
- →Como: 4th in Serie A, 8W 5D 2L at home, unbeaten last 5, only 22 goals conceded in 29 games.
- →Pisa: 19th, winless away (0W 8D 6L), 49 goals conceded, only 2 wins all season.
- →Como average 1.66 goals scored, 0.76 conceded per game; Pisa average 0.79 scored, 1.69 conceded.
- →Pisa have failed to score in 3 of last 5; Como have 2 clean sheets in last 5.
- →No significant injuries reported for either side.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Como's attack is efficient but not explosive; if they score early, Pisa may sit back, reducing goal volume.
- ⚠️Pisa's last away matches show some resilience (8 draws), so a low-scoring draw is a remote risk.
- ⚠️Some match stats missing for Como's recent games (shots, possession), which slightly reduces model confidence.
- ⚠️Bookmaker odds are extremely short for Como, limiting value on main markets.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.