Coventry
Middlesbrough
Coventry Building Society Arena, Coventry
Monday, 16 Feb 2026 at 20:00
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
1 - 1
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 33.0%
Draw: 36.0%
Away: 31.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
51.0% confidence
💰Recommended Bets
btts — yes@ 3.65
Expected Value: 49.0%
Both teams have strong attacking records (Coventry 2.03, Middlesbrough 1.58 goals/game), recent BTTS rates are high (Coventry 4/5, Boro 3/5), and the odds offer significant value over the model probability.
over_under_2_5 — over@ 3.4
Expected Value: 39.0%
Both teams have over 2.5 goal rates above 50% for the season, and recent H2H meetings have seen high scores. Odds for over 2.5 are set very high, creating a value opportunity.
Match Analysis
This is a top-of-the-table clash between Coventry and Middlesbrough, with both sides in the promotion hunt. Coventry have been dominant at home all season (11W, 3D, 1L), but recent form is patchy (DLLWW). Middlesbrough are on a five-match winning streak, scoring freely and looking solid at the back. Historically, Coventry have dominated this fixture, especially at home, but Boro's current form and attacking stats suggest they can break the trend. Expect a tight, high-quality match with both teams likely to score, but neither with a clear edge.
Key Factors
- ▪Middlesbrough are on a 5-match winning streak, averaging 2.4 goals per game in that span.
- ▪Coventry have the best home record in the league (11W, 3D, 1L), conceding just 11 in 15 home games.
- ▪Recent H2H heavily favors Coventry at home, but Boro's current form is the best in the league.
- ▪Both teams average over 1.5 goals scored per game and have high over 2.5 and BTTS rates.
- ▪No significant injuries for either side.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️ Coventry's last 5 form is inconsistent compared to Boro's perfect streak.
- ⚠️ Some missing advanced stats for Coventry's last 5 matches (shots, possession, etc.), slightly reducing model confidence.
- ⚠️ Odds for goal markets may reflect bookmaker overreaction to Coventry's recent 0-0 draw.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk. Always gamble responsibly.