Crawley Town vs Grimsby Prediction
League Two · England
Crawley Town
Grimsby
📍 The Broadfield Stadium, Crawley
🗓️ Monday, 6 Apr 2026 at 14:00
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
1 - 2
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 22.0%
Draw: 28.0%
Away: 50.0%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(2)
btts — no@ 2.32
EV: 3.0%
Both teams have only 2/5 BTTS in recent matches, and Grimsby have a strong defensive record (39.5% clean sheets). Value on 'No' at current odds.
1x2 — away@ 1.61
Grimsby are in much better form (WWLDW), have a strong away record, and are motivated for playoffs. Crawley struggle defensively and are near the bottom.
Match Analysis
Grimsby travel to Crawley as clear favourites, given their playoff push and strong recent form. Crawley have shown some resilience with a win and three draws in their last five, but overall season performance and home record remain poor. Grimsby's attack (2.0 goals/game last 5) and solid defence (0.6 conceded) should see them edge a competitive but low-scoring match, with the away side likely to control proceedings, especially in the first half.
Key Factors
- →Grimsby have won 4 of their last 6 away games and are in strong form (WWLDW).
- →Crawley have just 1 win in their last 5 and a poor home record (5W, 8D, 7L).
- →Grimsby average 2.0 goals scored and 0.6 conceded in their last 5; Crawley average 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded.
- →Head-to-head is even (4W each, 2D), but Grimsby won 3-0 in the reverse fixture.
- →Crawley have failed to score in 2 of last 5; Grimsby have 2 clean sheets in 5.
- →No significant injuries for either side.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Some key match stats (shots, corners, cards) are missing for several recent games, reducing confidence in set piece and discipline markets.
- ⚠️Crawley have drawn many home games (8/20), so the draw is a risk.
- ⚠️League Two is volatile late season; motivation and fatigue can swing results.
- ⚠️Bookmaker odds suggest Grimsby are heavier favourites than the model.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.