Crawley Town vs Swindon Town Prediction
League Two · England
Crawley Town
Swindon Town
📍 The Broadfield Stadium, Crawley
🗓️ Saturday, 7 Mar 2026 at 15:00
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
0 - 2
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 14.0%
Draw: 24.0%
Away: 62.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
82.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(3)
1x2 — Swindon Town@ 1.65
EV: 2.0%
Swindon Town have a strong away record (9W/1D/7L), vastly superior season form, and Crawley Town are in poor form with 1 goal in their last 5 matches. Swindon's attack (1.63 gpg) should overpower Crawley's weak defence (1.6 conceded per game).
btts — no@ 1.22
EV: 0.0%
Crawley have failed to score in 4 of their last 5, and Swindon have only 1 failed to score in their last 5. Model probability (0.82) matches odds, but this is a strong statistical lean.
ou_2_5 — under@ 2.15
EV: -7.0%
Crawley's attack is extremely weak recently (0.2 gpg last 5), and Swindon's away games average 1.53 total goals conceded. Under 2.5 is slightly against the market but supported by recent home form.
Match Analysis
Swindon Town travel to Crawley Town as strong favourites, with a significant gap in both league position and recent form. Crawley have struggled badly in attack, scoring just once in their last five, while Swindon remain in the promotion hunt and have been efficient on the road. Expect Swindon's superior attack and motivation to tell, with Crawley likely to struggle to create chances. A low-scoring away win is the most probable outcome.
Key Factors
- →Crawley Town have scored just 1 goal in their last 5 matches (0.2 per game).
- →Swindon Town have not failed to score in any of their last 5 matches.
- →Crawley have the 2nd-worst defence in League Two (56 conceded in 35).
- →Swindon have the 4th-best away record in the league (9W/1D/7L).
- →Head-to-head is balanced, but Swindon won the reverse fixture 1-0.
- →Crawley have failed to score in 4 of their last 5 and have just 4 home wins all season.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Some recent match stats (shots, xG, lineups) are missing for both teams.
- ⚠️League Two is prone to variance and upsets, especially late in the season.
- ⚠️Crawley are fighting relegation and may show unexpected resilience.
- ⚠️No major injuries reported, but squad rotation cannot be ruled out.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.