Cremonese vs Bologna Prediction

Cremonese

Bologna
๐ Stadio Giovanni Zini, Cremona
๐๏ธ Sunday, 5 Apr 2026 at 13:00
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
0 - 1
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 16.0%
Draw: 29.0%
Away: 55.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
79.0% confidence
๐ฐ Recommended Bets(2)
1x2 โ away@ 1.45
EV: -4.0%
Bologna are significantly stronger away than Cremonese are at home, and have a better season record and defensive stats. However, the odds are short and value is marginal.
over_under_2_5 โ under@ 1.17
EV: -2.0%
Both teams average under 2.5 goals per game, especially Cremonese at home. Recent form and H2H also suggest a low-scoring match.
Match Analysis
This is a clash between a relegation-threatened Cremonese side and a Bologna team pushing for a top-half finish. Cremonese have struggled for goals and results at home, while Bologna have been solid on the road. Both teams' recent matches have been low-scoring, and defensive solidity is likely to dominate. Expect Bologna to control the game, with few clear chances for either side.
Key Factors
- โCremonese have only 2 home wins all season and average 0.86 goals per home game.
- โBologna have the 5th-best away record in Serie A with 7 wins and 24 goals in 15 away matches.
- โBoth teams average less than 1 goal scored per game in their last 5 matches.
- โCremonese have failed to score in 2 of their last 5; Bologna have 2 clean sheets in the same span.
- โNo significant injuries for either side.
- โHistorical H2H is limited but includes a recent 3-1 away win for Cremonese, though Bologna won the last meeting at this venue 5-1.
Risk Notes
- โ ๏ธSome recent match stats for Bologna are missing (shots, lineups), increasing model uncertainty.
- โ ๏ธCremonese's form is volatile, with a recent away win but four losses prior.
- โ ๏ธLow-scoring prediction is sensitive to early goals or red cards.
- โ ๏ธLimited H2H data between these sides.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk โ always gamble responsibly.