Cremonese vs Fiorentina Prediction
Serie A · Italy
Cremonese
Fiorentina
📍 Stadio Giovanni Zini, Cremona
🗓️ Monday, 16 Mar 2026 at 19:45
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
0 - 1
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 19.0%
Draw: 37.0%
Away: 44.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
82.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(3)
correct_score — 0-1
Both teams have struggled for goals, especially Cremonese (0.4 goals/game last 5, failed to score in 3/5), while Fiorentina have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 5 and have a strong H2H record. A narrow away win is most likely.
under 2.5 goals — under@ 1.2
EV: -5.0%
Both teams average under 1.5 goals scored per game, last 5 matches have been low-scoring, and H2H is consistently under 2.5 (4/5).
btts — no@ 1.2
EV: -1.0%
Cremonese have failed to score in 3 of their last 5, Fiorentina in 2/5, and H2H has seen both teams score only once in last 5 meetings.
Match Analysis
This is a relegation battle between two struggling sides, with Fiorentina holding a slight edge in recent form and H2H dominance. Cremonese have been poor in attack, averaging less than a goal per game both recently and over the season. Fiorentina, while inconsistent, have been more solid defensively lately and have a strong record against Cremonese. Expect a cagey, low-scoring affair with Fiorentina likely to edge it.
Key Factors
- →Cremonese: 3 straight losses, 0.4 goals/game last 5, failed to score in 3/5
- →Fiorentina: 3 clean sheets in last 5, only 1 loss in last 4
- →H2H: Fiorentina unbeaten in last 5, 4 wins, 1 draw, 4/5 under 2.5 goals
- →Both teams average below 1.5 goals scored per game this season
- →Both teams in relegation zone, high motivation but low confidence
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Some recent match stats (shots, lineups) missing for Fiorentina
- ⚠️Both teams are unpredictable due to relegation pressure
- ⚠️Low attacking output increases draw probability
- ⚠️No major injuries reported, but lineups not confirmed
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.