Cremonese vs Genoa Prediction
Serie A · Italy
Cremonese
Genoa
📍 Stadio Giovanni Zini, Cremona
🗓️ Sunday, 15 Feb 2026 at 14:00
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
0 - 1
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 23.0%
Draw: 38.0%
Away: 39.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
83.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(3)
correct_score — 0-1
Genoa have been scoring more and conceding less than Cremonese recently. Cremonese have failed to score in 4 of their last 5 and have a poor home attack. Genoa's away form is not strong but their attack is much better than Cremonese's, and the match is likely to be low-scoring.
under 2.5 goals — under@ 1.09
EV: -5.0%
Both teams have poor scoring records, especially Cremonese. The last H2H finished 0-2, and both teams' recent matches have trended under 2.5 goals. Model probability is high but odds are short.
btts — no@ 1.13
EV: -5.5%
Cremonese have failed to score in 4 of their last 5, and Genoa have 2 clean sheets in that span. Both teams' attack/defence splits suggest a low BTTS probability.
Match Analysis
This is a relegation six-pointer between two sides level on points and struggling for form. Cremonese are in a deep slump, winless in their last five and scoring just once in that span. Genoa, while also inconsistent, have shown more attacking threat recently and have a better away scoring record. Expect a tense, low-scoring encounter with Genoa's superior attack likely to make the difference.
Key Factors
- →Cremonese: 4 losses and 1 draw in last 5, only 1 goal scored, failed to score in 4/5.
- →Genoa: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses in last 5, averaging 2 goals scored per game.
- →Both teams have identical points and similar W/D/L records, but Genoa have scored 8 more goals this season.
- →Cremonese home attack is among the league's weakest (11 goals in 11 home games).
- →Head-to-head: Cremonese won 2-0 away earlier this season; previous meeting was a 0-0 draw.
- →Cremonese missing several players due to injury, further weakening their lineup.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Low confidence due to both teams' inconsistency and poor recent form.
- ⚠️Cremonese's home stats and recent attack are extremely weak, but Genoa's away record is also poor.
- ⚠️Bookmaker odds suggest a very low goal game, limiting value on main markets.
- ⚠️Injuries for Cremonese may impact defensive stability further.
- ⚠️Limited H2H data (only 2 recent meetings).
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.