Deportivo La Coruna vs Granada CF Prediction
Segunda División · Spain
Deportivo La Coruna
Granada CF
📍 Estadio Municipal de Riazor, La Coruña
🗓️ Sunday, 8 Mar 2026 at 20:00
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
2 - 0
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 61.0%
Draw: 27.0%
Away: 12.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
78.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(3)
1x2 — home@ 1.33
EV: 11.0%
Deportivo La Coruna are in strong recent form (WWLWW), have a solid home record, and face a Granada side with poor away form and a current L2 streak. The probability of a home win is higher than the odds imply.
correct_score — 2-0
Model's top correct score with clean sheet likelihood high given Granada's attacking struggles and Deportivo's defensive solidity at home.
btts — no@ 1.17
EV: -7.0%
Granada have failed to score in 2 of their last 5, and Deportivo have 2 clean sheets in last 5. Both teams' BTTS stats and low attacking output from Granada support this.
Match Analysis
Deportivo La Coruna come into this match in strong form, pushing for promotion, and have been solid at home. Granada CF, meanwhile, are struggling for results, especially away, and have shown little attacking threat recently. Deportivo's defense has tightened up, and Granada's low shots and shots on target further limit their scoring prospects. Expect Deportivo to control the match, likely scoring in both halves, while Granada may struggle to create clear chances.
Key Factors
- →Deportivo La Coruna: WWLWW form, 2 clean sheets in last 5, strong home record.
- →Granada CF: LLWLL form, only 3 away wins all season, 0 clean sheets in last 5.
- →Deportivo average 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded in last 5, Granada average 1.8 scored but only 0.4 shots on target per game.
- →Granada's away defense concedes 1.38 per match; Deportivo home attack solid.
- →Granada have failed to score in 2 of last 5, and BTTS only 3/5.
- →Deportivo have more to play for (promotion push), Granada near relegation zone.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Granada's last 5 average goals scored (1.8) is inflated by one big win; underlying attacking metrics (shots, SoT) are poor.
- ⚠️Some missing match stats for Granada's recent games reduce confidence in precise attacking/defensive estimates.
- ⚠️Odds for some markets (correct score) not available at time of analysis.
- ⚠️Segunda División can be unpredictable; low-scoring games are common.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.