Eibar vs AD Ceuta FC Prediction

Segunda DivisiónSegunda División · Spain
Eibar

Eibar

vs
AD Ceuta FC

AD Ceuta FC

📍 Estadio Municipal de Ipurua, Eibar

🗓️ Sunday, 5 Apr 2026 at 12:00

Prediction Summary

Predicted Score

2 - 1

Match Odds (1X2)

Home: 62.0%

Draw: 24.0%

Away: 14.0%

Both Teams to Score

Yes

51.0% confidence

💰 Recommended Bets(3)

1x2home@ 1.29

7
/ 10
Stake
2u

Eibar have a formidable home record (11W-4D-2L), strong recent form (WWDWW), and a much better defensive record than Ceuta, especially at home. Ceuta's away form is poor (3W-4D-9L, 33 conceded in 16), making Eibar clear favorites.

over_under_2_5over@ 1.5

5
/ 10
Stake
1u

Ceuta's matches have a high over 2.5 rate (59%), and their defense concedes often away. Eibar's attack at home is solid, and both teams have shown BTTS potential recently.

bttsyes@ 1.95

5
/ 10
Stake
1u

Ceuta have scored in 4/5 recent away matches and Eibar have conceded in 2 of their last 5. Both teams have attacking threats and Ceuta's defense is leaky.

Match Analysis

Eibar host AD Ceuta FC in a clash between two sides separated by just one point in the standings, but with very different home/away profiles. Eibar are extremely strong at home, boasting one of the best defensive records and a consistent attack, while Ceuta struggle badly on the road, conceding over 2 goals per away game. Recent form favors Eibar, who are unbeaten in five and have won four, while Ceuta have lost three of their last five and shipped 11 goals in that span. Expect Eibar to control the game, but Ceuta's attacking output means they can get on the scoresheet, making a home win with goals likely.

Key Factors

  • Eibar's home record: 11 wins, 4 draws, 2 losses, 28:12 goal difference.
  • Ceuta's away record: 3 wins, 4 draws, 9 losses, 16:33 goal difference.
  • Eibar's recent form: WWDWW, with 3 clean sheets in last 5.
  • Ceuta have conceded 11 in last 5 matches; 2.4 per game.
  • Ceuta have a higher over 2.5 rate (59%) than Eibar (43%), but Eibar's attack at home is efficient.
  • No significant injuries for either side.
  • Only previous H2H: Ceuta 1-0 Eibar (reverse fixture).

Risk Notes

  • ⚠️Only one previous H2H, so little direct matchup history.
  • ⚠️Some derived stats based on incomplete match stat data (shots, corners, etc.).
  • ⚠️Ceuta's attack is unpredictable; capable of scoring but inconsistent.
  • ⚠️Odds on Eibar are short, limiting value.
  • ⚠️Corners and cards predictions are lower confidence due to missing recent match data.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.

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