Eibar vs Las Palmas Prediction
Segunda División · Spain
Eibar
Las Palmas
📍 Estadio Municipal de Ipurua, Eibar
🗓️ Sunday, 29 Mar 2026 at 12:00
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
1 - 1
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 36.0%
Draw: 39.0%
Away: 25.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
68.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(1)
1x2 — draw@ 2.9
EV: 13.0%
Both teams are solid defensively, have similar recent form, and have drawn 2 of their last 5 H2H meetings. Eibar's home strength is offset by Las Palmas' resilience away. The model's probability for a draw is higher than the bookmaker's implied probability, providing value.
Match Analysis
This is a tightly matched contest between Eibar, strong at home, and Las Palmas, who have been hard to beat away. Both sides have shown defensive solidity recently, with few goals conceded and a high rate of clean sheets. The historical H2H record is balanced, and the league table positions suggest both are fighting for playoff spots. Expect a cagey, low-scoring affair with a high probability of a draw.
Key Factors
- →Eibar's home record is excellent: 10 wins in 16, only 11 conceded.
- →Las Palmas have only 3 away losses in 15 and average less than 1 goal conceded per away game.
- →Both teams average under 1 goal conceded per game this season.
- →Last 5 for both sides: 3 clean sheets each, Eibar failed to score in 2, Las Palmas scored in all.
- →H2H is even: 4 wins each, 2 draws in last 10; recent meetings often low scoring.
- →Bookmaker odds and model both expect under 2.5 goals; BTTS 'no' is favored.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Some away team match stats (shots, possession, etc.) missing for recent games, slightly increasing uncertainty.
- ⚠️Lineups not confirmed; late injuries or rotations could impact predictions.
- ⚠️Low-scoring matches can be decided by a single incident, increasing draw or 1-goal margin volatility.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.