ES Metlaoui vs AS Marsa Prediction
Ligue 1 · Tunisia
ES Metlaoui
AS Marsa
📍 Metlaoui Municipal stadium, Metlaoui
🗓️ Sunday, 12 Apr 2026 at 14:00
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
0 - 1
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 23.0%
Draw: 39.0%
Away: 38.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
78.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(3)
btts — no@ 1.8
EV: 20.0%
Both teams have struggled to score (Metlaoui 0.4, Marsa 0.8 avg goals last 5), with 5/10 recent H2H seeing at least one side blank. Both have strong under 2.5 and low BTTS rates.
under 2.5 — under@ 1.5
EV: 16.0%
Both sides have low season over 2.5 rates (Metlaoui 20.8%, Marsa 30.4%), and recent form (avg combined goals 1.2 last 5) points to a low-scoring game.
1x2 — draw@ 3.3
EV: 9.0%
Metlaoui are draw specialists at home (9/12), and both teams are closely matched in standings and recent form. H2H history also shows a draw tendency.
Match Analysis
This is likely to be a tight, low-scoring contest between two teams with limited attacking output and solid defensive records. ES Metlaoui are unbeaten at home but draw frequently, while AS Marsa have struggled away, losing 8 of 11 but occasionally snatching results. Both sides average under a goal per game recently and across the season. Expect few clear chances, with a goalless first half likely and a single goal possibly deciding the match.
Key Factors
- →Metlaoui are unbeaten at home this season (3W, 9D, 0L), but have only scored 10 in 12 home games.
- →AS Marsa have lost 8 of 11 away, but have scored more away (12) than at home (9).
- →Both teams have poor recent attacking form: Metlaoui 0.4, Marsa 0.8 goals per game last 5.
- →Recent H2H meetings have been low scoring, with 3 of last 5 under 2.5 goals.
- →Metlaoui's clean sheet rate at home is strong (50%).
- →Neither team has significant injuries impacting likely lineups.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️No shots, possession, or set piece data available for recent matches.
- ⚠️Corner and card markets are low confidence due to missing stats.
- ⚠️Ligue 1 Tunisia can be unpredictable in lower table clashes.
- ⚠️Bookmaker odds not available; value calculations are based on typical market ranges.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.