ES Setif vs Ben Aknoun Prediction
Ligue 1 · Algeria
ES Setif
Ben Aknoun
📍 Stade 8 Mai 1945,
🗓️ Sunday, 5 Apr 2026 at 16:45
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
1 - 1
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 38.0%
Draw: 39.0%
Away: 23.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
67.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(1)
1x2 — draw@ 3.1
EV: 9.0%
Both teams have similar recent form and underlying stats, with ES Setif strong at home but inconsistent, and Ben Aknoun solid away. Three H2H meetings have produced one draw and two one-goal games. The model gives a higher probability to the draw than the odds imply, providing a positive value edge.
Match Analysis
This is a low-scoring, tightly matched mid-table clash between ES Setif and Ben Aknoun. Setif are much stronger at home than away but have struggled for goals recently, failing to score in three of their last five. Ben Aknoun are slightly better overall and have a balanced away record. Both teams concede around 1.2 goals per game and rarely see matches with three or more goals. The H2H history is balanced and low-scoring, suggesting another close contest. A draw is the likeliest outcome, with under 2.5 goals and BTTS 'no' also probable.
Key Factors
- →ES Setif have a strong home record (5W, 5D, 1L) but poor recent form (LLWWL).
- →Ben Aknoun are mid-table, with a balanced away record (4W, 4D, 4L) and similar recent form (LWDWL).
- →Both teams average just over 1 goal scored and conceded per game; clean sheet rates are low.
- →Only 35-43% of their games go over 2.5 goals.
- →Three H2H meetings: one draw, two one-goal games, all under 2.5 goals.
- →No major injuries reported for either side.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️No advanced stats (shots, possession, corners) available for recent matches.
- ⚠️Low-scoring leagues can be volatile; a single goal can swing outcomes.
- ⚠️Market odds are very short for ES Setif (1.28), but model does not see them as such heavy favorites.
- ⚠️API predictions are generic (33% each), offering little guidance.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.