ES Zarzis vs Stade Tunisien Prediction
Ligue 1 · Tunisia
ES Zarzis
Stade Tunisien
📍 Abdessalem Kazouz Stadium, Zarzis
🗓️ Saturday, 4 Apr 2026 at 13:30
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
0 - 1
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 22.0%
Draw: 38.0%
Away: 40.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
81.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(3)
under/over 2.5 goals — under@ 1.3
EV: -1.0%
Both teams have low over 2.5% rates (ES Zarzis 41%, Stade Tunisien 22%), and both recent form and H2H history indicate low-scoring games.
correct score — 0-1
Stade Tunisien have a strong defense (0.35 conceded per game), ES Zarzis have failed to score in 4/5, and away wins to nil are common in H2H.
double chance — X2
Stade Tunisien are 4th, Zarzis are 11th, and the away side has lost just 2 of 11 away. Recent form and stats favor the visitors avoiding defeat.
Match Analysis
This is a classic low-scoring Tunisian Ligue 1 clash between a struggling ES Zarzis side and a defensively solid Stade Tunisien. Zarzis have failed to win in their last five (LDLLD), scoring just once, and have a poor home record. Stade Tunisien, sitting 4th, have lost only twice away and boast the league's best defensive record. Most recent H2H meetings have been tight or one-sided for the away team. Expect a cagey affair with few chances, where Stade Tunisien are slight favorites but a draw is also likely.
Key Factors
- →ES Zarzis: 1 goal scored in last 5 matches, 4/5 failed to score.
- →Stade Tunisien: 0.35 goals conceded per game, 70% clean sheet rate.
- →Head-to-head: 4 of last 6 meetings under 2.5 goals, away wins common.
- →ES Zarzis home: 2W 4D 5L, only 7 goals in 11 games.
- →Stade Tunisien away: 4W 5D 2L, only 5 conceded in 11 games.
- →Both teams' over 2.5% rates are low (41% and 22%).
Risk Notes
- ⚠️No shots, possession, or set piece data available for either team.
- ⚠️No injury or lineup info, so late team news could impact predictions.
- ⚠️Tunisian Ligue 1 can be unpredictable and low-scoring by nature.
- ⚠️Bookmaker odds on 1x2 market are very close, indicating high uncertainty.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.