Exeter City vs Cardiff Prediction
League One · England
Exeter City
Cardiff
📍 St James Park, Exeter
🗓️ Saturday, 14 Mar 2026 at 15:00
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
1 - 2
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 17.0%
Draw: 29.0%
Away: 54.0%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(3)
double_chance — X2
Cardiff are 2nd in the league, in strong away form (8W, 5D, 4L), and have dominated H2H. Exeter are winless in 5 and have a negative goal difference. X2 covers the draw and Cardiff win, both highly probable given the data.
over_under_2_5 — Over 2.5
Both teams have high over 2.5 rates (Cardiff 60%, Exeter 43%). Exeter's last 5 average 3.8 total goals per game, Cardiff's 4.4. Recent defensive issues for Exeter and Cardiff's strong attack support this.
btts — Yes
Exeter have BTTS in all last 5, Cardiff in 3 of last 5. Both teams' defences have shown vulnerability recently, and Exeter consistently score even when losing.
Match Analysis
Cardiff travel to Exeter as clear favourites, sitting 2nd in the table with a strong away record and a much superior goal difference. Exeter are mid-table, winless in their last five, and have conceded heavily lately. Cardiff's attack has been prolific, and while Exeter have struggled for wins, they have managed to score regularly. Expect Cardiff to control the game, but Exeter's attacking threat means both teams could get on the scoresheet. A relatively open game is likely, with Cardiff's promotion push providing extra motivation.
Key Factors
- →Cardiff are 2nd in League One, Exeter are 15th.
- →Cardiff's away record (8W, 5D, 4L) is strong; Exeter's home record is average (7W, 5D, 5L).
- →Exeter have not kept a clean sheet in their last 5 and have conceded 12 goals in that span.
- →Cardiff average 1.94 goals scored per game this season, Exeter 1.14.
- →H2H: Cardiff have won both competitive meetings this season (1-0, 1-0).
- →Exeter's last 5: all BTTS, high goals conceded.
- →No notable injuries for either side.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️Some missing match stats for recent Cardiff games (shots, SOT, etc.).
- ⚠️Small H2H sample size.
- ⚠️Cardiff's last match was a home loss, but overall form remains strong.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.