Exeter City vs Lincoln Prediction
League One · England
Exeter City
Lincoln
📍 St James Park, Exeter
🗓️ Tuesday, 10 Mar 2026 at 19:45
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
1 - 2
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 17.0%
Draw: 26.0%
Away: 57.0%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(2)
over_under_2_5 — over@ 2.25
EV: 11.6%
Both teams have shown a tendency for goals recently: Exeter's last 5 have averaged 3.2 total goals, Lincoln average 3.4. Lincoln's attack is in top form (3.0 goals/game last 5), and Exeter's defence has struggled. The model probability for over 2.5 is 0.56, above the implied probability of the odds.
double_chance — X2
Lincoln are in excellent form (WWWDW), with a strong away record and far superior season stats. Exeter are winless in 5 and have struggled defensively. The model gives X2 at 0.83 probability.
Match Analysis
Lincoln travel to Exeter in strong promotion-chasing form, having won 4 of their last 5 and scoring freely. Exeter, by contrast, are winless in 5 and have struggled defensively, conceding 10 in their last 5. Lincoln's attack (3.0 goals/game last 5) should test Exeter, whose home form is only average. The match is likely to see goals, with Lincoln favoured to edge it, but Exeter's ability to score means BTTS and over 2.5 are both live.
Key Factors
- →Lincoln: W3 current streak, 3.0 goals/game last 5, 3 clean sheets last 5
- →Exeter: DLDDD form, conceded 10 in last 5, only 1 clean sheet
- →Lincoln away record: 8W 4D 4L, 23:16 GF:GA
- →Exeter home record: 7W 5D 5L, 23:19 GF:GA
- →H2H: 5 draws in last 10, but Lincoln won reverse fixture 0-1
- →Lincoln 2nd in table, Exeter 15th, big gap in quality and motivation
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Exeter have drawn 4 of last 5, suggesting some resilience
- ⚠️Lincoln's last 5 away games not fully detailed for shots/goals split
- ⚠️H2H history includes several draws, raising draw risk
- ⚠️Odds may have shifted since odds snapshot date (Jan 2026)
- ⚠️No injury data, but lineups not available for this future fixture
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.