Farnborough vs Hemel Hempstead Town Prediction
National League - South · England
Farnborough
Hemel Hempstead Town
📍 Saunders Transport Community Stadium, Farnborough, Hampshire
🗓️ Saturday, 7 Mar 2026 at 15:00
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
1 - 2
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 22.0%
Draw: 36.0%
Away: 42.0%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(3)
double_chance — X2
Hemel Hempstead Town are in much stronger league position (6th vs 20th), have a far better defensive record (1.06 conceded/game vs 2.06), and have dominated H2H (5 wins in last 7). Farnborough's home form is poor and their defence is leaking goals. X2 covers the draw and away win, both plausible given Hemel's tendency to avoid defeat against bottom teams.
1x2 — away
Hemel are much higher in the table, have a strong away record, and have won 5 of last 7 H2H. Farnborough have conceded 68 in 33 games and are in a relegation fight, making the away win a reasonable value even if odds are missing.
ou_2_5 — over
Farnborough matches see high scoring (60.61% over 2.5, 3.0 conceded/game last 5), but Hemel's attack is modest and recent matches have been low scoring. Over 2.5 is only a marginal lean, not a strong bet.
Match Analysis
Hemel Hempstead Town travel to struggling Farnborough with a strong record both overall and in recent head-to-heads. Farnborough are leaking goals at an alarming rate and sit in the relegation zone, while Hemel are pushing for the playoffs with a solid away record and a much tighter defence. Expect Hemel to control the game, with Farnborough's attack capable of scoring but their defence likely to be exposed again. The most probable outcome is a narrow away win, with goals likely but not guaranteed to be high in number.
Key Factors
- →Farnborough have conceded 68 goals in 33 matches (2.06 per game), worst among bottom sides.
- →Hemel Hempstead Town have 41.18% clean sheet rate and only 1.06 conceded per game.
- →Hemel have won 5 of last 7 H2H, including both meetings last season (1-0 both times).
- →Farnborough's home record: 6W 3D 7L, but 25 conceded in 16 home games.
- →Hemel's away record: 6W 3D 7L, 16 scored, 20 conceded.
- →Farnborough's last 5: 1W 2D 2L, but 15 goals conceded (3/game), only 1 clean sheet in season.
- →Hemel's last 5: 2W 3L, but only 2 goals scored, 6 conceded, 2 clean sheets.
- →No significant injuries reported for either side.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges and EV cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️Recent Hemel matches have been low scoring, which could limit over 2.5 appeal.
- ⚠️Farnborough's attack has been inconsistent; if they score early, match could open up.
- ⚠️No set piece or discipline data for recent matches; card/corner estimates are generic.
- ⚠️Non-league football can be volatile, especially in relegation battles.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.