FC Schweinfurt 05 vs SSV Ulm 1846 Prediction
3. Liga · Germany
FC Schweinfurt 05
SSV Ulm 1846
📍 Sachs-Stadion, Schweinfurt
🗓️ Saturday, 7 Mar 2026 at 13:00
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
1 - 2
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 18.0%
Draw: 32.0%
Away: 50.0%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(1)
1x2 — draw@ 3.5
EV: 12.0%
Model probability for draw is higher than the implied probability from odds, both teams have high draw rates in recent games and poor defensive records, increasing the likelihood of a stalemate.
Match Analysis
This is a clash between two struggling sides at the bottom of the 3. Liga. FC Schweinfurt 05, rooted to the bottom, are winless in their last five and have the league's worst defence, conceding 61 goals in 26 matches. SSV Ulm 1846, though slightly better, are only two places above and have also lost three of their last five. Both teams have high over 2.5 goal percentages and regularly concede, but Ulm's attack is marginally more effective, and they thrashed Schweinfurt 5-1 in their only previous meeting this season. Expect a tense, open game with goals likely, but neither side is reliable enough to back with high confidence. The draw offers value given both teams' tendency to drop points and defensive frailties.
Key Factors
- →Both teams have lost at least 3 of their last 5 league matches.
- →Schweinfurt have conceded 2.6 goals per game over their last 5 and have the lowest clean sheet rate in the league.
- →Ulm have scored in every one of their last 5 but also failed to keep a clean sheet.
- →Both teams have over 69% of their matches going over 2.5 goals this season.
- →H2H this season: Ulm 5-1 Schweinfurt.
- →Schweinfurt have only 2 home wins in 13, Ulm have 3 away wins in 13.
- →No significant injuries reported for either side.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️No shot/corner/possession data for recent matches reduces confidence in set piece and tempo markets.
- ⚠️Very small H2H sample (1 match).
- ⚠️Both teams are highly unpredictable due to poor form and defensive instability.
- ⚠️No confirmed lineups at time of analysis.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.