FC Volendam vs Groningen Prediction
Eredivisie · Netherlands
FC Volendam
Groningen
📍 Kras Stadion, Volendam
🗓️ Sunday, 1 Mar 2026 at 13:30
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
1 - 1
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 28.0%
Draw: 41.0%
Away: 31.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
56.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(2)
1x2 — draw@ 3.55
EV: 46.0%
Both teams have struggled for wins recently (Groningen L5, Volendam LWWLD), with Volendam solid at home and Groningen poor away. The match features two low-scoring, inconsistent sides. The model sees a high probability of a draw, and the odds present a significant value edge.
over_under_2_5 — over@ 3.6
EV: 29.0%
While both teams' recent games have trended under, their season over 2.5 rates (Volendam 62.5%, Groningen 50%) suggest upside at a big price if defenses falter. Small value edge, but lower confidence due to recent under trend.
Match Analysis
FC Volendam host Groningen in a clash between two sides in poor form but with contrasting home/away records. Volendam have been resilient at home (5W-4D-3L), while Groningen are on a five-game losing streak and have struggled on their travels (5W-1D-6L but 19 conceded). Both teams have low recent scoring rates, and neither defense inspires confidence. The model expects a tight, tense affair with few clear chances, and a draw is the likeliest outcome.
Key Factors
- →Groningen on a 5-game losing streak, confidence likely low.
- →Volendam stronger at home, 5W-4D-3L at Kras Stadion.
- →Both sides average just over 1 goal scored per game; both have poor clean sheet rates recently.
- →Recent H2H: last meeting was 3-0 Groningen, but overall balanced (1W Volendam, 2W Groningen, 2D in last 5).
- →Volendam have failed to score in 2 of last 5, Groningen in 1 of last 5.
- →Low recent first half goals for both sides.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Some recent match stats missing (shots, possession, etc.) for both teams.
- ⚠️Lineups not available; late injuries or rotations could impact prediction.
- ⚠️Both teams' form is volatile; motivation and pressure could influence play.
- ⚠️Low confidence in goal markets due to inconsistent scoring and conceding patterns.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.