Feyenoord vs Excelsior Prediction
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Feyenoord
Excelsior
📍 De Kuip, Rotterdam
🗓️ Sunday, 15 Mar 2026 at 13:30
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
3 - 0
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 81.0%
Draw: 13.0%
Away: 6.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
78.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(2)
over_under_2_5 — over@ 2.75
EV: 41.5%
Feyenoord average 2.23 goals scored per game and have a 65% over 2.5 rate. Excelsior concede 1.69 per game and have a 61% over 2.5 rate. H2H shows frequent high-scoring wins for Feyenoord.
1x2 — home@ 1.07
EV: 3.0%
Feyenoord are 2nd, strong at home (9W/1D/3L), Excelsior on a 4-game losing streak and poor away. H2H is overwhelmingly in Feyenoord's favor.
Match Analysis
Feyenoord are heavy favorites at De Kuip, coming off a five-game stretch with only one loss and showing strong home form all season. Excelsior, by contrast, are on a four-game losing streak and have one of the league's weakest away defenses. H2H history is lopsided, with Feyenoord winning 8 of the last 10 meetings, often by large margins. Expect Feyenoord to dominate possession, create more chances, and likely keep a clean sheet. Over 2.5 goals is supported by both teams' season stats and H2H trends.
Key Factors
- →Feyenoord's home record: 9W/1D/3L, 32 goals scored at home.
- →Excelsior's away record: 3W/3D/6L, 25 goals conceded in 12 away games.
- →Feyenoord form: DLWWW, Excelsior form: LLLLW.
- →H2H: Feyenoord have won 8 of last 10 vs Excelsior, often by 2+ goals.
- →Excelsior missing L. Hartjes (midfield regular).
- →Feyenoord average 2.23 goals scored per game; Excelsior concede 1.69 per game.
- →Excelsior have failed to score in 1 of last 5; Feyenoord have 2 clean sheets in last 5.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Some missing match stats for recent games (shots, possession, etc).
- ⚠️Excelsior's attack has shown some life (1 goal/game last 5), but faces a much stronger defense here.
- ⚠️Bookmaker odds are extremely short on Feyenoord, limiting value.
- ⚠️Injuries minimal; only Excelsior missing Hartjes.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.