Fleetwood Town vs Crawley Town Prediction
League Two · England
Fleetwood Town
Crawley Town
📍 Highbury Stadium, Fleetwood
🗓️ Saturday, 21 Mar 2026 at 15:00
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
1 - 0
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 48.0%
Draw: 37.0%
Away: 15.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
71.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(2)
1x2 — draw@ 3.65
EV: 35.0%
Fleetwood have drawn 3 of their last 5, Crawley 4 of their last 5, and both teams are low scoring with strong recent defensive records. Model probability for draw (0.37) exceeds odds-implied probability (0.27), offering value.
under 2.5 — under@ 2
EV: 28.0%
Both teams average under 1 goal per game in their last 5, with Fleetwood's last 5 all under 2.5 goals. Model probability (0.64) gives positive expected value at even odds.
Match Analysis
Fleetwood Town host Crawley Town in a clash between two teams struggling for wins but showing defensive solidity. Fleetwood are unbeaten in five but have drawn four, while Crawley have drawn four of their last five and have struggled to score, especially away. Both teams have a similar clean sheet rate and low BTTS frequency recently. Fleetwood's home form is steady, while Crawley are among the league's weakest travelers. Expect a tight, low-scoring affair, with a draw or narrow home win most likely.
Key Factors
- →Fleetwood: 4 draws in last 5, only 1 win, but 3 clean sheets.
- →Crawley: 4 draws in last 5, 3 failed to score, only 12 away goals in 19 matches.
- →Both teams' last 5 matches average under 1 goal scored per game.
- →Fleetwood's home record (7-7-5) is solid, Crawley's away record (2-5-12) is poor.
- →Recent H2H: No draws in 4 meetings, but recent form points to a stalemate.
- →No significant injuries reported for either side.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Some recent match stats (shots, xG, lineups) are missing, reducing model confidence.
- ⚠️Fleetwood's low recent attacking output may reflect tactical changes or lack of quality.
- ⚠️Crawley have shown some improvement defensively but remain unpredictable.
- ⚠️Small sample size for H2H, and historical matches are not recent.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.