Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Hertha BSC Prediction
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Hertha BSC
📍 Merkur Spiel-Arena, Düsseldorf
🗓️ Sunday, 22 Mar 2026 at 12:30
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
1 - 2
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 29.0%
Draw: 29.0%
Away: 42.0%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(2)
btts — yes@ 3.6
EV: 52.0%
Both teams have high BTTS rates in last 5 (Hertha 5/5, Düsseldorf 2/5 but with attacking improvement at home). Hertha's attack is strong away, and Düsseldorf's defense is weak. Odds are generous compared to model probability.
1x2 — away@ 2.1
EV: -5.6%
Hertha have a much better away record (6W/3D/3L, 23 GF) and are in better overall form. Düsseldorf's home form is poor (5W/3D/5L, 13 GF/17 GA). Slight negative EV but value if Hertha's attack continues recent trend.
Match Analysis
Hertha BSC travel to Düsseldorf in stronger overall form, especially away from home, with a potent attack averaging 1.92 goals per away match. Düsseldorf have struggled for consistency and defensive solidity, particularly at home. Both sides have seen goals in recent matches, and Hertha have scored in all of their last five. Expect a competitive match with Hertha's attacking edge likely to prove decisive, but both teams are capable of scoring.
Key Factors
- →Hertha BSC away attack: 23 goals in 12 away games (1.92 avg)
- →Düsseldorf home defense: 17 conceded in 13 home games (1.31 avg)
- →Hertha BTTS in last 5: 5/5; Düsseldorf: 2/5
- →Düsseldorf form: LWWLD, Hertha: DWWLL
- →Hertha have not failed to score in last 5; Düsseldorf failed to score in 2 of last 5
- →No significant injuries reported
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Some recent match stats missing, especially for Düsseldorf
- ⚠️Home advantage could play a role; Düsseldorf have beaten Hertha at home in the past
- ⚠️Market odds suggest Düsseldorf are favorites, but model leans Hertha
- ⚠️H2H is even, but recent form and attacking data favor Hertha
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.