Fulham vs Southampton Prediction
FA Cup · England
Fulham
Southampton
📍 Craven Cottage, London
🗓️ Sunday, 8 Mar 2026 at 12:00
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
2 - 1
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 53.0%
Draw: 28.0%
Away: 19.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
56.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(3)
over_under_2_5 — over@ 3.2
EV: 54.0%
Both teams have 100% over 2.5 goal rate in the FA Cup this season, and Southampton's recent matches are high-scoring (avg 2.8 scored, 1 conceded last 5). Odds for over 2.5 are generous compared to model probability.
btts — yes@ 3.8
EV: 68.0%
Fulham have seen BTTS in 4 of last 5, Southampton have scored in all last 5. Both attacks are in form, and BTTS 'yes' is value at current odds.
1x2 — draw@ 4.3
EV: 22.0%
Model gives a higher draw probability than the market. Southampton are in strong form and have held Fulham to draws before; cup tie could be cagey.
Match Analysis
Fulham host Southampton in the FA Cup at Craven Cottage. Fulham are on a three-match winning streak, but Southampton arrive with excellent attacking form, averaging 2.8 goals in their last five. Both sides have a 100% over 2.5 goal rate in the cup this season, and recent H2H meetings show a mix of tight and open games. Fulham have the edge at home, but Southampton's momentum and attacking threat suggest a competitive tie, likely to see goals.
Key Factors
- →Fulham 3-match win streak, strong at home
- →Southampton unbeaten in last 5, scoring 14 goals
- →Both teams 100% over 2.5 goals in FA Cup this season
- →Fulham have failed to keep a clean sheet in last 5
- →Southampton have scored in every recent match
- →No significant injuries reported
- →Recent H2H: 4 wins each, 2 draws in last 10
Risk Notes
- ⚠️No current league standings provided for precise strength comparison
- ⚠️Some match stats missing (shots, possession) for Fulham last 5
- ⚠️Cup matches can be unpredictable with possible squad rotation
- ⚠️Lineups not available at time of analysis
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.