Galatasaray
Juventus
Rams Park, Istanbul
Tuesday, 17 Feb 2026 at 17:45
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
1 - 1
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 25.0%
Draw: 37.0%
Away: 38.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
59.0% confidence
💰Recommended Bets
btts — yes@ 4
Expected Value: 64.0%
Model probability for BTTS (yes) is 0.41, significantly above the implied probability of 0.25 from odds 4. Both teams have shown attacking potential, and Galatasaray have scored in 4 of their last 5, while Juventus have scored in 3 of their last 5. Value is strong despite bookies expecting a low-scoring game.
1x2 — draw@ 3.45
Expected Value: 28.0%
Both teams have drawn several recent Champions League matches, and model probability (0.37) is slightly above the implied probability (0.29). Juventus have 4 draws in 8 UCL games; Galatasaray have 1. Tight, low-scoring match expected.
Match Analysis
Galatasaray host Juventus in Istanbul with both sides showing mixed Champions League form. Galatasaray are on a domestic winning streak but struggled against top European opposition, while Juventus have been solid but not spectacular, with a tendency for draws and low-scoring games. Both teams have defensive vulnerabilities but also enough attacking quality to find the net. Expect a tense, tactical battle, with a low-scoring draw the most likely outcome.
Key Factors
- ▪Galatasaray's recent domestic form is strong (WWWLW), but their UCL campaign has been inconsistent.
- ▪Juventus are hard to beat, losing only one of eight in UCL, but draw frequently.
- ▪Both teams average under 2 goals per game in UCL; clean sheet rates are moderate.
- ▪Historical H2H is limited but competitive, with Galatasaray unbeaten in two (1W, 1D).
- ▪Bookmakers heavily favor under 2.5 goals, but value exists in BTTS due to both teams' recent scoring trends.
- ▪No major injuries reported for either side.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️ Limited H2H sample (last meetings in 2013).
- ⚠️ Some missing data for shots/corners/cards in away team recent matches.
- ⚠️ Model confidence reduced by moderate sample size and possible lineup rotation for UCL.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk. Always gamble responsibly.