Gateshead vs Yeovil Town Prediction
National League · England
Gateshead
Yeovil Town
📍 Gateshead International Stadium, Gateshead
🗓️ Saturday, 28 Mar 2026 at 15:00
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
1 - 1
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 36.0%
Draw: 37.0%
Away: 27.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
56.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(2)
over_under_2_5 — over@ 3.6
EV: 37.0%
Model probability for over 2.5 goals (0.38) is higher than the implied probability from odds (0.28). Both teams have defensive vulnerabilities (Gateshead concede 2.1 per game, Yeovil 1.45), and H2H history shows some high-scoring games.
btts — yes@ 3.7
EV: 63.0%
Model probability for BTTS yes (0.44) is significantly above the implied probability (0.27). Both teams average over a goal per game, and H2H has seen both teams score in 4 of last 6 meetings.
Match Analysis
This is a clash between two struggling sides in the bottom half of the National League table. Gateshead, just above the relegation zone, have the league's worst defensive record and a poor home record (3W, 4D, 12L). Yeovil Town travel poorly (5W, 1D, 12L away) but have a slightly better overall record and come off a confidence-boosting win. Both teams have shown inconsistency, but recent H2H meetings have often been open, with goals at both ends. Expect a tense, scrappy match with a slight edge towards a draw, but the potential for goals if either defence cracks.
Key Factors
- →Gateshead have conceded 82 goals in 39 games (2.1 per game), worst in the league.
- →Yeovil Town have lost 12 of 18 away matches and concede 1.39 goals per away game.
- →Both teams average just over 1 goal scored per game.
- →Recent form is mixed: Gateshead (LWDDW), Yeovil (WLLLW).
- →H2H: 4 of last 6 meetings saw both teams score, and 3+ goals in 4 of 6.
- →Gateshead's home record is very poor (3W, 4D, 12L).
- →No significant injuries reported for either side.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Lack of detailed shot/corner/foul data for recent matches reduces confidence in set piece and discipline markets.
- ⚠️Both teams are inconsistent and motivation levels may vary depending on other relegation results.
- ⚠️Low clean sheet rates but also several recent low-scoring games for both sides.
- ⚠️Model confidence is moderate due to missing granular match data.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.