Girona vs Athletic Club Prediction
La Liga · Spain
Girona
Athletic Club
📍 Estadio Municipal de Montilivi, Girona
🗓️ Saturday, 14 Mar 2026 at 13:00
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
1 - 1
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 30.0%
Draw: 38.0%
Away: 32.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
56.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(3)
correct_score — 1-1
Both teams are defensively solid but lack attacking firepower. Recent form and H2H suggest a low-scoring draw is likely.
double_chance — X2
Athletic Club have a slightly better away record and are higher in the table. Girona have struggled for home wins. X2 is statistically favored.
ou_2_5 — under@ 1.14
EV: -16.0%
Both teams' season and recent matches trend heavily under 2.5 goals; 72% model probability, but odds offer little value.
Match Analysis
This is a mid-table clash between two sides with similar records but slightly different recent trajectories. Girona have drawn three of their last five and are struggling to win at home, while Athletic Club have lost two in a row but showed better form prior. Both teams average just over a goal per game and concede more than they score, with neither keeping a clean sheet in their last five. Head-to-head is balanced, and both teams are likely to approach this cautiously, making a low-scoring draw the most probable outcome.
Key Factors
- →Both teams have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 5 matches.
- →Girona's home record (4W 4D 5L) is only marginally better than Athletic's away (3W 3D 7L).
- →Recent matches for both sides trend under 2.5 goals.
- →Head-to-head is balanced: 4 wins each, 2 draws in last 10.
- →Neither team has significant injury issues.
- →Girona have scored and conceded in every one of their last 5 matches (BTTS 5/5).
Risk Notes
- ⚠️No shots, possession, or set piece stats for Girona's last 5 games; reduces confidence in attack/defence assessment.
- ⚠️Odds for some markets are missing, so value assessment is limited.
- ⚠️Recent form for both teams is volatile, with both showing streaky results.
- ⚠️No confirmed lineups; late injuries or rotations could impact outcome.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.