Granada CF vs Huesca Prediction

Granada CF

Huesca
📍 Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes, Granada
🗓️ Saturday, 28 Mar 2026 at 15:15
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
2 - 0
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 59.0%
Draw: 30.0%
Away: 11.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
77.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(3)
1x2 — Granada CF@ 1.28
EV: -4.0%
Granada are in better recent form, have a stronger defense, and Huesca have a poor away record with only 2 wins in 15 away games. However, the odds are quite short so value is limited.
btts — no@ 1.12
EV: -9.0%
Both teams have low BTTS rates and Huesca have failed to score in 2 of their last 5. Granada keep clean sheets in 32% of games. Odds are too short for strong value.
under 2.5 goals — under@ 1.57
EV: -1.0%
Both teams have under 2.5 goal rates above 58%, and Granada home games average just 2.25 goals. Huesca struggle to score away from home.
Match Analysis
Granada CF are expected to control this match at home against a struggling Huesca side. Granada's recent form is solid, especially defensively, while Huesca have lost 4 of their last 5 and are conceding heavily. Huesca's away record is among the worst in the league, and their attack is blunt on the road. Expect Granada to dominate possession, limit Huesca's chances, and likely keep a clean sheet in a low-scoring match.
Key Factors
- →Granada have lost just 4 of 16 at home, while Huesca have lost 11 of 15 away.
- →Granada's defense is solid: only 0.8 goals conceded per game in last 5.
- →Huesca have scored only 11 goals in 15 away games.
- →Huesca's current form is poor (LLDLL), with 2.2 goals conceded per game in last 5.
- →Head-to-head is balanced, but Granada won the last meeting away.
- →Both teams have high under 2.5 goal percentages.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Granada's home attack is not prolific (1.25 goals/game).
- ⚠️Granada have drawn 8 of 16 at home, so a draw cannot be ruled out.
- ⚠️Recent H2H matches include draws and a Huesca away win.
- ⚠️Some recent match stats missing (shots, possession for some games), lowering model confidence slightly.
- ⚠️Odds on most markets are short, limiting value.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.