Grimsby
Wolves
Blundell Park, Cleethorpes
Sunday, 15 Feb 2026 at 13:30
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
0 - 2
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 6.0%
Draw: 15.0%
Away: 79.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
79.0% confidence
💰Recommended Bets
over_under_2_5 — over@ 3.45
Expected Value: 14.0%
Model probability for over 2.5 goals (0.43) is higher than the implied probability from odds (0.29), indicating value. Wolves are clear favourites, but Grimsby's recent attacking form and Wolves' potential squad rotation in the cup could see goals.
Match Analysis
Wolves travel to Grimsby as heavy favourites in this FA Cup tie. Grimsby have shown strong recent form in League Two, especially defensively, but face a significant step up in class. Wolves have struggled for goals in the Premier League recently but showed attacking potential in their FA Cup tie against lower-league opposition. Expect Wolves to control the game, with Grimsby likely to defend deep and look for set piece opportunities. Goals may be limited, but there is some value in the over given the odds.
Key Factors
- ▪Wolves' recent Premier League form is poor (DLLLD), but they scored 6 in their recent FA Cup tie.
- ▪Grimsby are in strong form in League Two (WDDWW), with 4 clean sheets in their last 5.
- ▪Grimsby average 1.2 goals scored and 0.4 conceded in their last 5, but against much weaker opposition.
- ▪Wolves have failed to score in 4 of their last 5, but the step down in opposition could see them create more.
- ▪No significant injuries reported for either side.
- ▪Both teams have high over 2.5 goal % in the cup this season, but league games suggest a more cautious contest.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️ No head-to-head or standings data available; reduces model confidence.
- ⚠️ Wolves' recent attacking stats are missing (no shots/corners data last 5), increasing uncertainty.
- ⚠️ Cup matches can see rotation, especially from the away (Premier League) side.
- ⚠️ Grimsby's strong form is against League Two opposition, not top-flight teams.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk. Always gamble responsibly.