Hannover 96 vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth Prediction
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Hannover 96
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
📍 Heinz-von-Heiden-Arena, Hannover
🗓️ Sunday, 8 Mar 2026 at 12:30
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
2 - 1
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 62.0%
Draw: 23.0%
Away: 15.0%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(2)
btts — yes@ 3.95
EV: 129.0%
Both teams have averaged 1.8 goals scored in their last 5 matches, and BTTS has landed in 3 of Hannover's and 4 of Fürth's last 5. Fürth's defence is the league's weakest with just 8.33% clean sheets. The odds offer significant value versus model probability.
over_under_2_5 — over@ 1.53
EV: 4.0%
Both teams are among the league leaders for over 2.5 goals (Hannover 75%, Fürth 70.83%). Recent form and defensive frailties for Fürth support a high-scoring match.
Match Analysis
Hannover 96 enter this fixture in strong form, unbeaten in five and pushing for promotion, while Greuther Fürth are bottom of the table with defensive issues but have shown some attacking spark. Hannover's home record is solid, and Fürth's away form is poor, especially defensively. Expect Hannover to control the match, but Fürth's attack can threaten, making both teams to score and over 2.5 goals attractive. Set piece and discipline data suggest a typical 2. Bundesliga contest with moderate cards and corners.
Key Factors
- →Hannover are unbeaten in their last 5 (WDWWW), Fürth have 1 win in last 5 (DWLLW).
- →Fürth have the league's worst defence (2.29 goals conceded/game, 8.33% clean sheet rate).
- →Both teams average 1.8 goals scored in their last 5 matches.
- →Hannover's home record (6W, 2D, 3L) is strong; Fürth's away record (3W, 1D, 8L) is weak.
- →BTTS has landed in 3 of Hannover's and 4 of Fürth's last 5 matches.
- →Head-to-head is competitive, but Hannover have the edge at home.
- →No significant injuries reported for either side.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Fürth's last 5 match stats are incomplete for some games (missing shots, possession, etc.), which adds uncertainty to model outputs.
- ⚠️Fürth's attack is inconsistent, and their defensive collapse risk is high.
- ⚠️Market odds for Hannover are very short, limiting value on 1X2 home win.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.