Hellas Verona vs Napoli Prediction
Serie A · Italy
Hellas Verona
Napoli
📍 Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi, Verona
🗓️ Saturday, 28 Feb 2026 at 17:00
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
0 - 2
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 7.0%
Draw: 20.0%
Away: 73.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
82.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(2)
1x2 — Napoli@ 1.15
EV: -5.0%
Napoli are third in Serie A, in strong away form (7W, 1D, 6L), and face a Verona side bottom of the table with only 1 home win and a -27 goal difference. Napoli's attack (1.5 goals/game season avg) faces a Verona defense conceding 1.77/game. Recent form and head-to-head dominance support a Napoli win, but odds are very short, limiting value.
btts — no@ 1.1
EV: -9.0%
Verona have failed to score in 3 of their last 5 and average just 0.73 goals/game. Napoli have not kept many clean sheets lately but Verona's attack is among the worst in the league. The price is low, but the data strongly favors BTTS 'no'.
Match Analysis
Napoli travel to bottom-placed Verona as clear favorites. Verona are in poor form, winless in their last 5 (LLDLL), and have the league's worst defense. Napoli, despite a recent loss, are third and have a strong away record. Verona struggle badly in attack and have failed to score in 3 of their last 5, while Napoli score twice per game on average in recent matches. Head-to-head history is also in Napoli's favor, with 5 wins and just 1 defeat in the last 10 meetings. Expect Napoli to control the match, likely keeping a clean sheet, with Verona offering little threat.
Key Factors
- →Verona: 2 wins in 26, just 1 home win, -27 goal difference.
- →Napoli: 15 wins, 39 goals scored, 7 away wins.
- →Verona average 0.4 goals scored, 2.4 conceded in last 5.
- →Napoli have scored in every one of their last 5 league matches.
- →Head-to-head: Napoli 5 wins, Verona 1 win, 4 draws in last 10.
- →Verona have failed to score in 3 of last 5.
- →No significant injuries reported for either side.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Napoli away record (7W, 1D, 6L) is strong but not flawless.
- ⚠️Verona's home games occasionally see surprise draws.
- ⚠️Napoli have not kept a clean sheet in last 5 league games.
- ⚠️Some Napoli data for shots, possession, cards is missing for recent games.
- ⚠️Odds on Napoli and BTTS 'no' are very short, limiting value.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.