Heracles vs Utrecht Prediction
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Heracles
Utrecht
📍 Asito Stadium, Almelo
🗓️ Friday, 6 Mar 2026 at 19:00
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
0 - 2
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 14.0%
Draw: 28.0%
Away: 58.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
72.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(3)
1x2 — away@ 1.5
EV: -8.7%
Utrecht are in better form, have a positive away record compared to Heracles' poor home form, and have dominated recent H2H. However, the odds are short and value is limited.
btts — no@ 1.2
EV: -11.3%
Heracles have failed to score in 2 of last 5 and Utrecht's defense is solid. Model expects a low probability of both teams scoring, but odds offer no value.
ou_2_5 — under@ 1.22
EV: -18.0%
Both teams' recent matches trend under 2.5 goals, especially with Heracles' low scoring average and Utrecht's solid defense. Odds are too short for real value.
Match Analysis
Heracles, bottom of the Eredivisie, are in dire form with four straight losses and the league's worst defense. Utrecht, mid-table and unbeaten in four, have shown more consistency and are strong favorites. Utrecht's away form is decent, and they have a dominant recent H2H record against Heracles. The match is likely to be low-scoring, with Utrecht controlling proceedings and Heracles struggling to break through.
Key Factors
- →Heracles have lost 4 straight and conceded 13 in last 5 matches.
- →Utrecht unbeaten in last 4 (2W, 2D) and have a much better defensive record.
- →Heracles have the lowest clean sheet % (4%) in the league.
- →Utrecht have won 6 of last 10 H2H meetings.
- →Heracles' home attack is weak (1.75 goals/game) and defense is leaky (2.33 conceded/game).
- →No significant injuries for either side.
- →Heracles have failed to score in 2 of last 5; Utrecht have failed to score in 1 of last 5.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Some match stats (shots, corners, cards for Utrecht) are missing for recent games.
- ⚠️Heracles' attack is inconsistent; a home goal would swing markets.
- ⚠️Odds on main markets are short, reducing value.
- ⚠️No confirmed lineups at this stage.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.