Huesca vs Almeria Prediction
Segunda División · Spain
Huesca
Almeria
📍 Estadio El Alcoraz, Huesca
🗓️ Friday, 20 Mar 2026 at 19:30
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
1 - 2
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 23.0%
Draw: 31.0%
Away: 46.0%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(3)
1x2 — away@ 2.45
EV: 12.7%
Almeria are in much better form (LWDWW), have a strong attack (1.87 goals/game, 70% over 2.5), and Huesca are struggling (DLLWL, 0.9 goals/game, 19th in table). Away win is priced above model probability, offering value.
double_chance — X2
Huesca rarely win against Almeria (only 2 wins in last 10 H2H), and Almeria are fighting for promotion. X2 covers the draw, which is frequent in this fixture.
over_under_2_5 — over
Almeria's matches are high-scoring (70% over 2.5), and Huesca's defense concedes regularly. However, H2H trends are lower-scoring, so keep stakes modest.
Match Analysis
Almeria travel to Huesca as clear favorites based on recent form, attacking strength, and league position. Huesca are in a relegation fight and have struggled to score, while Almeria are pushing for promotion and have one of the league's best attacks. The historical H2H is draw-heavy, but the current form gap suggests Almeria should edge this, with a decent chance of a higher-scoring match than the H2H trend. Expect Almeria to control the game and create more chances, but Huesca's desperation may see them fight hard, especially early on.
Key Factors
- →Almeria: 3rd in table, 1.87 goals/game, 70% over 2.5 goals, strong recent form (LWDWW)
- →Huesca: 19th, only 0.9 goals/game, poor form (DLLWL), 2 clean sheets in last 5
- →Almeria away record: W5 D5 L5 (solid), Huesca home: W6 D5 L4 (mid-table)
- →H2H: 7 draws in last 10, but Almeria's current attack is much stronger than previous seasons
- →No key injuries reported for either side
Risk Notes
- ⚠️H2H history is draw-prone and often low-scoring, which tempers confidence in away win and over 2.5 bets.
- ⚠️Huesca's home form is not disastrous; they are capable of grinding out draws.
- ⚠️Some missing granular stats for Huesca's recent matches (shots, possession), small data risk.
- ⚠️Odds for over/under and double chance not provided, so expected value cannot be precisely calculated for those markets.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.