Hull City vs QPR Prediction
Championship · England
Hull City
QPR
📍 MKM Stadium, Hull
🗓️ Saturday, 21 Feb 2026 at 12:30
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
2 - 1
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 49.0%
Draw: 30.0%
Away: 21.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
58.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(3)
over_under_2_5 — over@ 4.33
EV: 91.0%
Both teams have over 60% over 2.5 goal rates this season, and H2H meetings have often produced 3+ goals. Odds on over 2.5 are generous compared to model probability.
btts — yes@ 4.33
EV: 81.0%
BTTS has landed in 3 of the last 5 H2H and both teams have shown defensive vulnerability. Model probability is much higher than implied by odds.
1x2 — home@ 1.65
EV: 8.0%
Hull are stronger at home, higher in the table, and QPR's away record is weak. Model probability is slightly higher than implied by odds.
Match Analysis
Hull City, sitting in the playoff spots, host a mid-table QPR side. Hull's recent form has dipped (LLDWW), but their home record remains solid and they have more attacking threat. QPR have struggled for away wins and have been inconsistent, especially in attack. Both teams' matches often see goals, but Hull's defense is marginally better. Expect Hull to control the game, with QPR dangerous on the counter but lacking consistency.
Key Factors
- →Hull City have a strong home record (8W 3D 5L) and are 5th in the table.
- →QPR are 13th, with only 4 away wins from 16 and a negative goal difference.
- →Both teams average over 1.3 goals scored and conceded per game.
- →Recent H2H meetings are high-scoring (last 3: 3-2, 1-3, 1-2).
- →No significant injuries reported for either side.
- →Hull's recent form is mixed but generally better than QPR's.
- →BTTS and over 2.5 goals are common in both teams' recent games.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Some recent match stats (shots, possession) missing for QPR's away games.
- ⚠️Hull's last match was a heavy FA Cup defeat; possible morale impact.
- ⚠️QPR's shots on target average in last 5 is very low (0.6), but sample may be incomplete.
- ⚠️No confirmed lineups at time of analysis.
- ⚠️Bookmaker odds suggest low goal expectation, but model and H2H suggest otherwise.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.