Hull City vs Sheffield Wednesday Prediction
Championship · England
Hull City
Sheffield Wednesday
📍 MKM Stadium, Hull
🗓️ Saturday, 21 Mar 2026 at 15:00
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
2 - 0
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 67.0%
Draw: 23.0%
Away: 10.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
78.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(3)
1x2 — Hull City@ 1.08
EV: -5.0%
Hull City are strong favorites at home against the league's bottom side, but the odds are extremely short and offer negative value.
over_under_2_5 — over@ 3.8
EV: 75.0%
Model probability for over 2.5 goals is 46% vs implied 26%, giving a significant value edge. Hull's matches see high over 2.5 rates, and Sheffield Wednesday's defense is very weak.
btts — no@ 1.18
EV: -7.0%
Sheffield Wednesday have failed to score in 2 of last 5, average just 0.61 goals per game, and Hull keep clean sheets in 26% of matches. However, the odds offer no value.
Match Analysis
Hull City host bottom-of-the-table Sheffield Wednesday in a fixture that looks heavily one-sided on paper. Hull, chasing playoff security, have been inconsistent but are vastly superior to a Wednesday side with just one win all season and a catastrophic defensive record. Expect Hull to control the match, create more chances, and limit Wednesday's threat. Goals may not flow freely given Hull's recent attacking struggles, but their superiority should translate to a comfortable win.
Key Factors
- →Hull City are 5th, Sheffield Wednesday are 24th with -6 points and just 1 win.
- →Sheffield Wednesday concede 2 goals per game and have the worst defense in the league.
- →Hull's home form is solid (9W, 3D, 7L), while Wednesday's away form is dire (1W, 4D, 13L).
- →Hull average 1.55 goals scored per game; Wednesday just 0.61.
- →Recent form: Hull LWLLW, Wednesday LDLLL.
- →H2H: Hull have won 5 of last 10 meetings, but recent games have been closer.
- →No significant injuries for either side.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Hull's recent form is patchy, with 3 losses in last 5.
- ⚠️Sheffield Wednesday sometimes manage to score despite poor stats (BTTS in 3 of last 5).
- ⚠️Hull's attack has underperformed recently (0.8 goals/game last 5).
- ⚠️Odds on Hull are extremely short, offering little value.
- ⚠️Some away stats for Wednesday are from matches with different lineups/formations.
- ⚠️Some match stats missing for recent Wednesday games.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.