Inter vs AS Roma Prediction
Serie A · Italy
Inter
AS Roma
📍 Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milan
🗓️ Sunday, 5 Apr 2026 at 18:45
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
1 - 0
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 56.0%
Draw: 32.0%
Away: 12.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
82.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(3)
correct_score — 1-0
Inter's home defense is strong (0.87 conceded/game), Roma's away attack is modest (1.13 scored/game), and both teams' recent form points to low scoring. 1-0 fits the most likely scenario.
1x2 — Inter@ 1.22
EV: -6.0%
Inter are league leaders, have an excellent home record (11W/2D/2L), and dominate H2H. Roma's away form is inconsistent (7W/1D/7L).
under 2.5 goals — under@ 1.15
EV: -7.0%
Both teams are among Serie A's best defenses, recent matches are low scoring, and 80% model probability suggests a cagey game.
Match Analysis
Inter host AS Roma in a clash between two of Serie A's top defensive sides. Inter, leading the table, have been less prolific in recent weeks but remain extremely solid at the back, especially at home. Roma have struggled for consistency away, and their recent games have been tight, with few goals. The H2H history is heavily in Inter's favor, especially at San Siro. Expect a tactical, low-scoring contest with Inter's quality and home advantage likely to edge it.
Key Factors
- →Inter's home record: 11W/2D/2L, 39 scored, 13 conceded
- →Roma's away record: 7W/1D/7L, 17 scored, 14 conceded
- →Inter's last 5: DDLDW (low scoring, strong defense)
- →Roma's last 5: WLDLD (inconsistent, 4 BTTS, only 1 clean sheet)
- →H2H: Inter 8 wins in last 10, Roma 2
- →Both teams under 1 goal conceded per game on season
- →Low over 2.5% for both teams (Inter 50%, Roma 33%)
- →No significant injuries impacting starting XIs
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Roma's attacking data for last 5 is incomplete (no shots, SoT, etc.)
- ⚠️Recent Inter form is less dominant than season average
- ⚠️Market odds on under and BTTS are very short, limiting value
- ⚠️Potential for rotation after international break not reflected in data
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.