Ipswich vs Hull City Prediction

Ipswich

Hull City
๐ Portman Road, Ipswich
๐๏ธ Tuesday, 3 Mar 2026 at 19:45
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
2 - 1
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 49.0%
Draw: 31.0%
Away: 20.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
52.0% confidence
๐ฐ Recommended Bets(2)
over_under_2_5 โ over@ 3.45
EV: 53.0%
Model estimates over 2.5 goals at 44% (implied odds 2.27), while bookmaker offers 3.45 (implied 29%). Both teams have a high over 2.5% (Ipswich 53%, Hull 67%) and recent H2Hs have produced goals.
btts โ yes@ 4.2
EV: 101.6%
BTTS 'yes' is 48% by model, odds imply 24%. Both teams average 1.5+ goals scored per game and Hull's defence is leaky (2.4 conceded last 5).
Match Analysis
Ipswich host Hull in a key top-6 clash at Portman Road with both teams level on points. Ipswich are strong at home (10W, 1L) and Hull are a potent away side (8W, 4L). Recent form is patchy for both, but Ipswich's home defensive record and Hull's attacking threat suggest a competitive, open game. Expect Ipswich to edge it, but Hull can score.
Key Factors
- โIpswich home record: 10W, 5D, 1L, 30:12 GF:GA
- โHull away record: 8W, 3D, 4L, 27:20 GF:GA
- โBoth teams have high over 2.5% (Ipswich 53%, Hull 67%)
- โHull conceding 2.4 goals/game last 5; Ipswich 1.6
- โNo significant injuries reported
- โRecent H2H: 3-0 Ipswich at home in 2023, 2-0 Ipswich away in 2025
Risk Notes
- โ ๏ธRecent form for both teams is inconsistent
- โ ๏ธIpswich's last 5: WLLWD; Hull's last 5: WLLLD
- โ ๏ธLimited shots/on target data for Ipswich last 5
- โ ๏ธHull's defence vulnerable but attack capable
- โ ๏ธMarket odds suggest lower goal expectation than model
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk โ always gamble responsibly.