Ipswich vs Leicester Prediction
Championship · England
Ipswich
Leicester
📍 Portman Road, Ipswich
🗓️ Saturday, 7 Mar 2026 at 15:00
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
2 - 1
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 56.0%
Draw: 27.0%
Away: 17.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
54.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(2)
over_under_2_5 — over@ 3.4
EV: 31.2%
Model assigns 48% probability to over 2.5 goals, significantly higher than the 29% implied by odds. Both teams have recent high-scoring matches and defensive vulnerabilities.
btts — yes@ 4.33
EV: 36.8%
Leicester have seen BTTS in 4 of last 5, and Ipswich's attack is strong at home. Odds undervalue BTTS potential.
Match Analysis
Ipswich, strong at home and in good form, host a struggling Leicester side with poor recent results and defensive issues. Ipswich's attack has been consistent, while Leicester have conceded heavily but still show some attacking threat. The home side are clear favourites, but Leicester's desperation for points and tendency for both teams to score in their matches suggest this could be more open than the odds imply.
Key Factors
- →Ipswich: W2 current streak, 11W-5D-1L at home, 1.94 goals/game at home
- →Leicester: LDDLL form, 0 clean sheets in last 5, 2.2 goals conceded per game in last 5
- →Ipswich have scored in 4 of last 5, Leicester in 4 of last 5
- →Head-to-head: Leicester dominant historically, but Ipswich stronger this season
- →Standings: Ipswich 4th, Leicester 22nd (relegation battle)
- →No significant injuries reported
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Limited recent shot/possession data for both teams
- ⚠️Leicester's away record and season averages missing for some fields
- ⚠️H2H trends favour Leicester, but team quality has shifted this season
- ⚠️Ipswich's defensive lapses (1.4 conceded per last 5) leave some upset risk
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.