Juventus vs Como Prediction
Serie A · Italy
Juventus
Como
📍 Allianz Stadium, Turin
🗓️ Saturday, 21 Feb 2026 at 14:00
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
1 - 1
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 38.0%
Draw: 36.0%
Away: 26.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
59.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(1)
1x2 — draw@ 3.4
EV: 21.0%
Both teams are in similar form, Juventus have drawn 5 of 12 at home, Como are solid away (3 draws in 11), and both have strong defenses with low over 2.5 rates. The model gives the draw a higher probability than the odds imply.
Match Analysis
Juventus host Como in a clash between two defensively solid sides with similar recent form. Juventus are unbeaten at home this season but have drawn nearly half their home games, while Como are resilient on the road, conceding less than a goal per away match. Both teams have struggled for goals in recent matches, and their defensive records suggest a low-scoring, tightly contested encounter. Expect a tactical battle with few clear chances, where a draw is a strong possibility.
Key Factors
- →Juventus unbeaten at home (7W, 5D, 0L) but with 5 draws in 12.
- →Como away record is strong (5W, 3D, 3L, only 9 conceded in 11).
- →Both teams average under 1 goal conceded per game this season.
- →Recent form: Juventus (LDLWD), Como (LDWWW), both coming off losses.
- →Low over 2.5 goal rates: Juventus 48%, Como 41.7%.
- →H2H: Juventus won 2 of last 3, but Como won reverse fixture 2-0.
- →No significant injuries reported for either side.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Recent Juventus attacking stats (last 5) are unusually low; some missing data for shots/possession.
- ⚠️Como's last away matches have been against weaker opposition; step up in class here.
- ⚠️Small H2H sample size; only 3 recent meetings.
- ⚠️Bookmaker odds suggest Juventus are stronger favorites than model indicates.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.