Las Palmas vs Granada CF Prediction
Segunda División · Spain
Las Palmas
Granada CF
📍 Estadio de Gran Canaria, Las Palmas
🗓️ Thursday, 2 Apr 2026 at 17:00
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
1 - 0
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 49.0%
Draw: 34.0%
Away: 17.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
78.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(2)
ou_2_5 — under@ 1.62
EV: 11.6%
Both teams have a low season over 2.5 goal percentage (38.71%), recent H2H meetings are low scoring, and both sides' defensive records are solid. Model probability (0.72) is higher than implied odds.
1x2 — draw@ 3.25
EV: 5.5%
Five of the last ten H2H ended in draws, both teams have a high draw rate this season, and the model probability (0.34) is slightly above the implied odds.
Match Analysis
Las Palmas host Granada CF in a tight Segunda División encounter. The home side are in stronger form, especially at home, and boast a robust defence with three clean sheets in their last five. Granada have improved recently, picking up two away wins in their last three, but generally struggle to score consistently and have a negative away goal difference. Recent head-to-heads are cagey, with four of the last five ending 1-1 or 0-0. Expect a low-scoring, tactical battle, with Las Palmas slightly favoured but a draw a real possibility.
Key Factors
- →Las Palmas have lost just 3 of 16 home games and boast a +13 home goal difference.
- →Granada CF's away record is inconsistent (5W 4D 6L, 17:18 goal diff).
- →Both teams average under 1.3 goals scored per game and concede less than 1.1.
- →Last five H2H: 4 draws, all low scoring (max 2 goals).
- →Las Palmas have 3 clean sheets in last 5; Granada 2.
- →No injuries reported for either team.
- →Both sides have low over 2.5 goal rates (38.71%).
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Some recent match stats (shots, xG) missing for both teams.
- ⚠️Segunda División is prone to unpredictable draws.
- ⚠️Granada have shown some away improvement recently.
- ⚠️No lineups available yet; late changes could impact prediction.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.