Le Havre vs Lyon Prediction
Ligue 1 · France
Le Havre
Lyon
📍 Stade Océane, Le Havre
🗓️ Sunday, 15 Mar 2026 at 16:15
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
0 - 2
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 14.0%
Draw: 25.0%
Away: 61.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
81.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(3)
1x2 — away@ 1.42
EV: -1.0%
Lyon have a strong away record relative to Le Havre's home form, significantly higher attacking output, and have dominated recent H2H. However, the odds are quite short and value is marginal.
btts — no@ 1.18
EV: -2.0%
Le Havre have failed to score in 3 of last 5, Lyon have 2 clean sheets in last 5, and H2H also trends low-scoring for Le Havre. Odds are short but probability is high.
over_under_2_5 — under@ 1.13
EV: -5.0%
Both teams trend under 2.5 (Le Havre 64% under, Lyon 48% under), and Le Havre's attack is weak. Odds are very short, so only a small stake.
Match Analysis
Lyon travel to Le Havre as strong favourites, with a significant gap in league position and recent form. Le Havre come into this fixture on a three-game losing streak, struggling badly in attack (0.8 goals per game last 5, 3/5 failed to score), while Lyon have been more consistent and potent, especially away from home. Lyon's defense is not watertight but Le Havre's lack of threat makes a clean sheet for the visitors likely. Recent head-to-heads have also strongly favoured Lyon. Expect a controlled away performance, with Lyon likely to score in both halves and Le Havre struggling to create clear chances.
Key Factors
- →Le Havre have lost 3 in a row, scoring 0 in each.
- →Lyon have scored in every away match in their last 5.
- →Le Havre average just 0.8 goals per game this season, and 0.8 in last 5.
- →Lyon's away attack (1.54 goals/game) is much stronger than Le Havre's home attack.
- →H2H: Lyon have won 3 of last 5, including a 4-0 away win.
- →Le Havre failed to score in 3 of last 5; Lyon kept 2 clean sheets in last 5.
- →Le Havre's home record (5W 5D 3L) is mid-table, but Lyon's away record (5W 3D 5L) is above average.
- →Le Havre's recent matches are low on corners and shots on target.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Le Havre have some home resilience (5 home wins, 5 draws), so a draw is not impossible.
- ⚠️Lyon's away defense can concede (19 conceded in 13 away), so a Le Havre goal cannot be fully ruled out.
- ⚠️Some match stats (shots, corners) are missing for a few recent games, slightly reducing confidence in set piece markets.
- ⚠️Lyon missing O. Mangala (midfield) could affect balance but not a major absentee.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.