Le Havre vs Toulouse Prediction
Ligue 1 · France
Le Havre
Toulouse
📍 Stade Océane, Le Havre
🗓️ Sunday, 15 Feb 2026 at 14:00
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
0 - 1
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 22.0%
Draw: 39.0%
Away: 39.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
82.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(3)
1x2 — draw@ 3.05
EV: 19.0%
Both teams are defensively solid and low scoring, with Le Havre drawing 5 of 11 at home and Toulouse drawing 2 of 10 away. H2H is also draw-prone (0-0 earlier this season). Bookmaker odds slightly underestimate the draw probability.
over_under_2_5 — under@ 1.11
EV: -4.0%
Both teams have strong under 2.5 trends (Le Havre 61.9%, Toulouse 52.4% under). Recent matches and H2H suggest a low-scoring game.
btts — no@ 1.18
EV: -3.0%
Le Havre have failed to score in 2 of last 5, Toulouse in 2 of last 5. H2H and recent form suggest at least one side blanking.
Match Analysis
This Ligue 1 clash at Stade Océane is set up as a low-scoring, cagey affair. Le Havre are tough to beat at home but struggle for goals, while Toulouse are more potent but also defensively strong on the road. Both teams have drawn a high proportion of matches, and recent H2H meetings have been tight, including a 0-0 earlier this season. Key injuries on both sides may further limit attacking options. Expect a tactical battle with few clear chances, and a draw or narrow away win most likely.
Key Factors
- →Le Havre average just 0.86 goals scored per game (season), Toulouse 1.48.
- →Le Havre have drawn 5 of 11 home matches; Toulouse have 2 draws in 10 away.
- →Both teams have strong defensive records recently (Toulouse 3 clean sheets last 5, Le Havre conceding 0.8/game last 5).
- →H2H: 0-0 in last meeting, 2 draws in last 5.
- →Several injuries affecting both teams' defensive and midfield depth.
- →Both teams often see under 2.5 goals (Le Havre 61.9%, Toulouse 52.4%).
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Toulouse attacking data for last 5 matches is incomplete (shots, possession, etc. missing).
- ⚠️Le Havre have some defensive injuries; impact on lineup is uncertain.
- ⚠️Bookmaker odds suggest Toulouse are stronger, but model sees this as a closer, low-scoring game.
- ⚠️Low confidence in goal and card markets due to missing detailed stats.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.