Leganes vs Eibar Prediction
Segunda División · Spain
Leganes
Eibar
📍 Estadio Municipal de Butarque, Leganes
🗓️ Sunday, 8 Mar 2026 at 17:30
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
1 - 1
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 36.0%
Draw: 39.0%
Away: 25.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
67.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(3)
correct_score — 1-1
Both teams have struggled to create clear scoring chances and have a high draw rate, especially in H2H (4 draws in last 10). Both average just over 1 goal per game, and defenses are generally solid. The 1-1 is the most likely single scoreline.
double_chance — 1X
Eibar have not won away all season (0W 5D 8L), while Leganes are inconsistent but rarely lose at home. The probability of Leganes avoiding defeat is high.
ou_2_5 — under@ 1.1
EV: -4.0%
Both teams have a low over 2.5 rate (Leganes 39%, Eibar 46%), and recent matches plus H2H suggest a low-scoring game. However, bookmaker odds are very short, so value is limited.
Match Analysis
This Segunda División clash sees Leganes, winless in their last three, host Eibar, who have yet to win away all season. Both teams are mid-table, with Eibar slightly ahead but Leganes more solid at home. Recent form and H2H suggest a tight, low-scoring affair. Eibar's away struggles and Leganes' lack of cutting edge point to a draw, likely with few goals. Expect a tactical battle with limited chances and a high probability of under 2.5 goals.
Key Factors
- →Eibar have 0 away wins in 13 attempts this season (5D, 8L, 6 GF, 19 GA).
- →Leganes have drawn 4 of 13 at home and lost only 5, showing resilience.
- →Both teams average just over 1 goal scored per match and concede around 1.
- →Recent form: Leganes DDLWL, Eibar WLWDW.
- →H2H: 4 draws in last 10, last meeting ended 0-0.
- →Low over 2.5 goal rates for both sides.
- →No significant injuries reported.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Some recent match stats (shots, xG) are missing, limiting model precision.
- ⚠️No odds for several markets (correct score, double chance), so value cannot be fully quantified.
- ⚠️Segunda División is prone to unpredictable results and late goals.
- ⚠️Small sample size for some derived stats (last 5 averages).
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.