Leicester vs Bristol City Prediction
Championship · England
Leicester
Bristol City
📍 King Power Stadium, Leicester
🗓️ Tuesday, 10 Mar 2026 at 19:45
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
1 - 2
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 27.0%
Draw: 32.0%
Away: 41.0%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(2)
over_under_2_5 — over@ 3.8
EV: 20.7%
Both teams have high BTTS and over 2.5 rates in recent matches (Leicester 62.9% over 2.5 for the season, both teams 4/5 BTTS in last five). Leicester's defence is weak (2.2 conceded per last 5), and Bristol City are more effective away. Odds are generous compared to model probability.
btts — yes@ 4
EV: 29.0%
BTTS has landed in 4 of last 5 for both sides, and Leicester's defence is leaking goals. Bristol City also average 1.6 scored and conceded per last 5. Odds are much higher than model probability.
Match Analysis
Leicester, struggling near the bottom of the table and winless in five, face a mid-table Bristol City side with a strong away record and better recent form. Leicester's defence has been poor, conceding over 2 goals per game in their last five, and their home form is unreliable. Bristol City have been more consistent, especially away, and their attack is likely to trouble Leicester's leaky backline. Both sides have high BTTS and over 2.5 rates recently, suggesting an open game with goals. Bristol City are favoured to edge this, but a high-scoring draw is also plausible.
Key Factors
- →Leicester's form: LDDLL, 0 wins in last 5, 2.2 goals conceded per game.
- →Bristol City away record: 7W 4D 6L, 1.18 pts/game, 20:20 goal difference.
- →Both teams have 4/5 BTTS and 0/5 clean sheets in last 5.
- →Leicester's home over 2.5 rate is 62.9%.
- →Bristol City have the 10th best away record in the league.
- →Leicester are 22nd, Bristol City 10th in the table.
- →No significant injuries for either side.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Leicester's recent instability could lead to unpredictable swings.
- ⚠️Both teams' defensive frailty increases variance in scorelines.
- ⚠️No lineups available at time of prediction.
- ⚠️Market odds may move closer to kickoff, affecting value.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.