Leicester vs Norwich Prediction
Championship · England
Leicester
Norwich
📍 King Power Stadium, Leicester
🗓️ Saturday, 28 Feb 2026 at 12:30
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
1 - 2
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 26.0%
Draw: 32.0%
Away: 42.0%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(2)
btts — yes@ 3.65
EV: 24.6%
Both teams have high BTTS rates in recent matches (Leicester 4/5, Norwich 2/5), and Leicester's defence is conceding heavily. The odds offered are much higher than model probability, creating strong value.
double_chance — X2
Norwich are in better recent form (3W in last 5, Leicester winless in 5), and Leicester's home record is average. X2 covers the away win and draw, aligning with model probability.
Match Analysis
Leicester are struggling badly, winless in their last five and conceding an average of 2.4 goals per game in that stretch. Norwich, by contrast, have won three of their last five and are much improved away from home, averaging 1.8 goals scored and only 0.8 conceded in recent matches. While Leicester have historically dominated this fixture, current form and defensive frailty suggest Norwich are better placed to take points, especially given their solid away record. Expect a competitive match with both sides likely to score, but Norwich's superior momentum gives them the edge.
Key Factors
- →Leicester's poor form: DLLLL, 0 wins in last 5, 2.4 goals conceded per game.
- →Norwich's away form: 6W, 5D, 6L, 26 scored, 22 conceded (season).
- →Recent Norwich improvement: 3 wins in last 5, including two away.
- →Leicester's home record is only average (6W, 4D, 6L).
- →Head-to-head: Leicester dominant historically, but form reversal.
- →Both teams have high over 2.5 and BTTS rates.
- →Leicester's clean sheet % is very low (9.09%).
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Leicester's historical H2H dominance may influence psychology.
- ⚠️Some missing match stats for recent Leicester games.
- ⚠️Norwich have minor injury absentees but no key attackers missing.
- ⚠️Market odds may shift closer to kickoff.
- ⚠️Predicted probabilities are model-based, not guarantees.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.