Levante vs Alaves Prediction
La Liga · Spain
Levante
Alaves
📍 Estadio Ciudad de Valencia, Valencia
🗓️ Friday, 27 Feb 2026 at 20:00
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
0 - 1
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 22.0%
Draw: 39.0%
Away: 39.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
78.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(1)
1x2 — draw@ 2.92
EV: 13.0%
Both teams have major attacking issues and a high draw probability (39%) compared to the odds-implied probability (34%). Levante have drawn 4 of 12 at home, Alaves have 2 away draws, and recent H2H meetings have been tight/low scoring.
Match Analysis
This is a relegation six-pointer between two of La Liga's weakest attacks. Levante are in dire form, winless in four and with only one home win all season. Alaves are slightly better but still poor away, with just two wins and only seven goals scored in twelve away matches. Both sides struggle to create chances and score, as reflected in their last five averages (Levante 1.0, Alaves 1.4 goals per game, but both with very low shots on target). The H2H history is balanced and often low scoring. Expect a tense, scrappy match with few chances and a high probability of a draw or narrow Alaves win.
Key Factors
- →Levante: 3 straight losses, only 1 home win all season, 0.92 goals scored per home game.
- →Alaves: Only 2 away wins, 0.58 goals scored per away game, 8 away losses.
- →Both teams have low clean sheet rates (Levante 16.7%, Alaves 12.5%).
- →Recent H2H: 3 draws in last 7, only 1 of last 6 meetings saw both teams score.
- →Recent form: Levante 1W 1D 3L, Alaves 2W 1D 2L.
- →Very low shots on target for both in last 5 (Levante 2.0, Alaves 0.2 per game).
- →No significant injuries for either side.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Low attacking output increases variance; a defensive mistake or set piece could swing the match.
- ⚠️Alaves' last 5 stats have missing data for some matches, reducing reliability.
- ⚠️Levante's home xG and shot data is incomplete for some fixtures.
- ⚠️Market odds are very tight and margins are high; limited value overall.
- ⚠️If either team changes to a more attacking lineup, goal probabilities may rise.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.