Levante vs Girona Prediction

La LigaLa Liga ยท Spain
Levante

Levante

vs
Girona

Girona

๐Ÿ“ Estadio Ciudad de Valencia, Valencia

๐Ÿ—“๏ธ Saturday, 7 Mar 2026 at 15:15

Prediction Summary

Predicted Score

1 - 1

Match Odds (1X2)

Home: 26.0%

Draw: 38.0%

Away: 36.0%

Both Teams to Score

No

56.0% confidence

๐Ÿ’ฐ Recommended Bets(2)

1x2 โ€” Draw@ 3.3

EV: 25.4%

5
/ 10
Stake
1u

Both teams have struggled to win consistently, with Levante poor at home (2W in 13) and Girona drawing 5 of 13 away. Recent form and goal data point to a low-scoring, tight match where a draw is more likely than odds suggest.

double_chance โ€” X2@ 1.44

7
/ 10
Stake
2u

Girona are in better overall form, have a higher points tally, and Levante have failed to win 11 of 13 home games. Girona avoided defeat in 8 of 13 away, supporting value in X2.

Match Analysis

This is a clash between two struggling sides, with Levante desperate for points in the relegation zone and Girona looking to consolidate mid-table safety. Levante's only recent win came against fellow strugglers, and their home record is poor. Girona have been inconsistent but are more solid away, drawing often and showing slightly more attacking threat. Both teams average below 1.1 goals per game, and both defences are leaky, but recent matches suggest a tight, cautious affair. A draw is the likeliest outcome, with few goals expected.

Key Factors

  • โ†’Levante: 1 win in last 5, only 2 home wins all season, 3 games without scoring in last 5.
  • โ†’Girona: 1 win in last 5, 8 away draws/losses in 13, but better recent attack (1.2 goals avg last 5).
  • โ†’Both teams have low clean sheet rates (Levante 19%, Girona 15%).
  • โ†’Head-to-head: Last meeting was a 4-0 Levante away win, but H2H overall is balanced.
  • โ†’Levante's home attack (1.0 gpg) vs Girona's away defence (1.62 gpg conceded) suggests goals will be at a premium.
  • โ†’No significant injuries reported for either side.

Risk Notes

  • โš ๏ธLimited recent data on lineups and some match stats missing.
  • โš ๏ธBoth teams are unpredictable and capable of defensive lapses.
  • โš ๏ธMarket odds are very close, reflecting high uncertainty.
  • โš ๏ธLow confidence in goal markets due to volatility of both teams' defences.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk โ€” always gamble responsibly.

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